Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Thirsty Rebel | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Saul Elliott | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Arkadelphia | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wave With Envy | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Chase N Ryan | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Prancealot Kelly | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Call Me Susie | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Angi’s Tipsy | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wild Cat Danzing | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mia Mac | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Devine Marina | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Walk’n the Beach | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Countess Vronsky | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Faithful Truth | 15.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tizthehartofdixie | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Velvet Dream | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wolf Hill | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sounds Lucky | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Up for the Hunt | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Heavenly Princess | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Getting Closer | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Caves | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Toaster | 1.80 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | McGregor Lake | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gentlemen’s Club | 8.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Naismith | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Nobel Gary | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mischief Moments | 20.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Typhoon Tommy | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Drum Bunny | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Spun Not Stirred | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Miracle Ball | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Outrageous | 6.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shes Just Fluffy | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rock N Roll Song | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | A Rousing Babe | 3.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Mo Town Gal | 5.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Queen of the Track | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Act of Serendipity | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Keychain Girl | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Getaway Charm | 50.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dallas Alice | 30.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dress Rehearsal | 50.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Expressive Love | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Big A’s Little One | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Silver Flirt | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Only After Midnite | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Siempre Naman | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Vronaway | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Circle of Fire | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Danzing Zella | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Eldis | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Mini Again | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | My Kimmie | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Shady Stripes | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Violets Song | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Good Golly Dolly | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Tina’s Princess | 15.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Valentina Jan | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Emma G | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Dakota’s Shadow | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Big Miss | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Tammy Baby | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Lil Tessa | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 98 | California Cat | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Goodnight Nellie | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Stop Digging | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Thirsty Trickster | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Smart Monique | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Freya | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | In the Air Tonight | 4.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sei Bella | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Coralgableskaylin | 15.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Buds N Suds | 4.50 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Coiffeur | 30.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Sexy Blue | 10.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.