Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Rockin Robin | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | My Glenda Faye | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jolly Jolene | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sissy Sox | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cold Case | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Quality Ami | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jackie Blue | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Authentic Cat | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Devlish Gal | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Air Castle | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Kava | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Not for Everyone | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ghost Money | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Y City | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Charmit | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Paris Accord | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Like a Diamond | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Back Nine | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Maritude | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Roots Tootn | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Holly Springs | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Deliver Dawn | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Gun Runner Charlie | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Determinedly | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | First Player | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Winters Lion | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Fireball Birdie | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Riddle Solver | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stoke the Fire | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shifty Gold | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gettysburg Address | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | We Need a Favor | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Suncroft | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ben Franklin | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Jackman | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Optimal Courage | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Face Value | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mighty Message | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Easy Fast | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Ravin’s Town | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Outlier | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cash Fever | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Palace Kitten | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Big Boss Ben | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Captain Jack | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lake of Fire | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | War Munny | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Miskell | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shances R | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Silent Horizon | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Crypto Cory | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Little Krush | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rudie Won’t Fail | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Amazing Music | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Paired | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Wilburton | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | September Silver | 15.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Awesome Magic | 15.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mr. J | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Boundings Mischief | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | My Noble Knight | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Keen Cat | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Gewurztraminer | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Money Run | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hoodlum | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Dynamis | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | The Thunderer | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Huge Bigly | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Swiss Guard | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Metatron’s Muse | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Lemon Drop Shot | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Icarus | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bourbon Life | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 3 | 3 | D Day Reunion | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Winning Matters | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Eagle Dance | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cognizant | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Yasmin | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Splendid Song | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Agrippina | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Stir It Up | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | On Ramp | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Cusp of Mischief | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 8 | 8 | American Missy | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sangarette | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Mischievous Bev | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Rift | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pipinna | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Advent S.) – Advent S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Spun D M C | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Boca Beach Club | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ganaas | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dirty Rich | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Walter the Mason | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Strong Potential | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Chad Allan | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Uncle Caesar | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | First Division | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Crisis Manager | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Myra’s Boy | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Super Cruise | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Dance Some Mo | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Midnight West | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Heavenville | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Capo Luca | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 11 | 11 | La Houligan | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Happy Strike | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Caught Off Guard | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Natural Rights | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 14 | 14 | What’s Up Doc | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Brunia | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Secret Slew | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rockin the Lane | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Redriver Storm | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Appealing Mischief | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Chocolatte | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tallahassee | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Caroom’s Croupier | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Hot Springs Music | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 11 | 11 | North Lake Kate | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Shady Valley | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Myrna | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Standup Triple | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Lilmissindependet | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.