Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Rebel With a Clue (IRE) | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Yes I’m Jess | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Night | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Man With the Money | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Nadir Han | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Commendatore | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Melody Man | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Deep Dusk | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cajun Gold | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Leroy Brown | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sea God | 2.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Power From Above | 4.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dominican Thunder | 8.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | El Rabano | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kei | 5.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Jimbo Bailey | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | El de Tocho | 50.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Goldinthesky | 6.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Vuela Paloma | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sophistry | 1.80 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gimme Some Luck | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Blond Jak | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Meet Me in the Air | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Any Moment | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Ramajay | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jackson Hole | 1.40 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Antonino | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ace Jack Deuce | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Eternal Dream | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Maykomotion | 3.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Municipal | 4.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Neural Network | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Pasajera | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tapizar’s Temper | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Willingness | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wineman Trax | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Triumphant Road | 4.50 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Garrincha | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Get Ready to Rock | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Will of a Warrior | 6.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Dangerous Driver | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Live High Live Low | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Nantasket Beach | 1.60 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Act a Fool | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Adios Cole | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | I’m Due | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Seaver | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | American Farmer | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Nate the Great | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Big Paradise | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Back Em Up | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Unclecharliesgift | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Make It Big | 20.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Freedom Road | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | El Principito | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Tropical Park Oaks) – Tropical Park Oaks
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | And One More Time | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Destino d’Oro | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Souper Williwaw | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Brown Sugar | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Supa Speed | 3.50 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Souper Zonda | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mischief in Motion | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Smart Union | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ramsey Pond | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Miss Mary Nell | 30.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Nosleeptilbrooklyn | 30.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | It Ain’t Two (GB) | 10.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Crafty Collector | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Jalila | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Betty’s Pearl | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Little Georgie | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Imperatrice | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Quiddity | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Shot At Perfection | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Image of Grace | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Looking At Unicity | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sunroof | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Trumpetta | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Worldly Beauty | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | More Than Glory | 1.80 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Play Free Bird | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Musical Journey | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Compass Rises | 2.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Tropical Park Derby) – Tropical Park Derby
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Chapman’s Peak | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Day and Age | 20.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tiz Dashing | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Souper Forces | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Layabout | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Simulate | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Tank | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Church and State | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Discreet Dancer | 30.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Roar of the Beast | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | McRavin | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Candytown | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Thundering | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.