Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Bode’s Maker | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Backnthewoods | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Alvy | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Admit Nothing | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Golden Purchase | 2.50 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Southern Horse (ARG) | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Prince Khozan | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Bala de Plata | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Wild Warrior | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 4 | Let’s Go Lando | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 6 | Boss Mode | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1A | 3 | Our Notion | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 5 | Red Zone Runner | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Freedom’s Echo | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Kittyup | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bulma | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Only Maria | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ever Yours | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | I’m a Lil Wicked | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Secret Oaks | 2.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Flying Perfection | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sassy Senorita | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Vamos Viejo | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Little Lance | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | It’s Sizzling Time | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Prom Knight | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Island d’Lite | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Likebelivingnmagic | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Song Runner | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Thank Ya Pete | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Sunflower State | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Devastating | 1.80 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ready for Magic | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Margaret P | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Runsweetly | 12.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wunderkind | 3.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Persian | 2.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Stylish Gem | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Let Her Pass By | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Barbados Bulldog | 6.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hoof and Boots | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Spring Training | 8.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Stroll Trippin | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Shantatakescharge | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Elite Miss | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Greek Heiress | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Phlying Phyllis | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Old Bay | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Vanilla Sundae | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Love You More | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Beautiful McClean | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Shine On Moon | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Dead Sexy | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | My Dear Antonia | 1.80 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Boys Go to Jupiter | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fiveclocksomewhere | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Diamond Sue | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Nobody’s Girl | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | High View | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.