Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Dawson James | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Coastal Breeze | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Amentum | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Irish Whiskey | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mirage | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Major League | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Conway | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Big Bourbon River | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gimme a Chance | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Endue | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Butch | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | E Money | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Blushing Bee | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Go Go Ro Ro | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Forty Love | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Woodspoint | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chasing Rain | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Army Hero | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Charley Pride | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Wind Rider | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | El Sargento | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Fifth Avenue | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Phenomenal Dream | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Heavenly Deacon | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Cavanal | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mackville | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Amazing Amanda | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bet the Gray | 1.40 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Silvertown | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dancewhenyoucan | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Urluckyurcute | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Everlasting Lover | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Rambunctious Rylie | 15.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Heavenly Destiny | 30.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 10 | 10 | On Ramp | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Famous Pharoah | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Tiz Authority | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Turin | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Coming Soon | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Witch Waydidhego | 30.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Spike the Punch | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | D’code | 4.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mactak | 3.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Reclamation | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mr Fancy Pants | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Razor Tap | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Silver Prince | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Rochester | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Sassy Lass | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Very Cosmopolitan | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Texas Sequoia | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Stephanie Starfish | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Call Sadie | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Cashmere Baby | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Honduras Passion | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Maximum to Excel | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cosmic Chic | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tactical Express | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mucho Vapor | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Exquisite Candy | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Bright Spark | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Prince Rama | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Campfire Creed | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kunshan Bridge | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Texas Holdem | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Big Commerce | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Euclid Avenue | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Khozy My Boy | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Booming | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | What a Country | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Aheadofthegame | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Frost Alert | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | K P Kwest | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Bolt On the Rocks | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Brooklynn Drew | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Frolic in the Park | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Perfect Wish | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Antique Silver | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Flat Out Rose | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Progeny | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Wreaking Havoc | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Argan | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dance My Way | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | First Hill | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Campaign Promises | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Gewurztraminer | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Empire Builder | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Strike Ridge | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Alternate Reality | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Happy Strike | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dr. Storm | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | American Law | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Papa Yo | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hess | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Excel Calculator | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | American Outlaw | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Solid Left | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Astral Spa Overnight S.) – Astral Spa Overnight S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Victory Music | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Carolyncaroline | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Debbie Doll | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Counting Stars | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Walk Away Kaye | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Glazin’ Fury | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Grace Is Free | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Front Runnin | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Runadhara | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Candy Talking | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Liuzza | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | You’ll Be Back | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gin’s Beach Road | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Clique | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Spring Dancer | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Managing Mischief | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Delacina | 30.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Sweet Music | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Kentucky Smokeshow | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Up On the Edge | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Teatotal | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Filly Crystal | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Music Mistress | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Ce La Vi Charli | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.