Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Shady Munni | 0.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Martini Martin | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tubtimsiam | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wicked Genius | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jigsaw | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Venezuelan Triumph | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Artistic Reason | 6.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rockin Freebee | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sailor’s Return | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Imaginized | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Equus | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tower Twenty Two | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Zeena Swift | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Southampton Dock | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pam Pam | 1.60 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Volatility | 4.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Racey Ruby | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Arctic Outbreak | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Notturno | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Real Blues | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ramiel | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Inmortal J | 2.50 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Three Point Strut | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Hotmessness | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Capos Sugar Kane | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sugar Princess | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tush Push | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | It’s a Breeze | 4.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Princess Isabel | 3.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Legendary Thunder | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Light My Way | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Keeping the Faith | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Muthabir | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Extrasexymcsteemee | 4.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | King Deivys | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Son of Delilah | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Simply Stated | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Never Sway | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sweet Laura | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Flower Mound | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Spicy Delight | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Telephone Line | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Miles of Smiles | 4.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Boss Like Beth | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mended We Stand | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Eloquist | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Yodel E. A. Who | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Traffic Master | 12.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Majestic Tiger | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bestsugardaddyever | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Asmodeus | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Admiral’s Wave | 4.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | What a Blast | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Aula | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Ranting and Raving | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Courage On Tap | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Moon Halory | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dutchman’s Map | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Punch and Judy | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Always in Play | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dreaming of Bella | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Freely Held | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Basin Bay | 10.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Star Sweeper | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bootleg Runner | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Wave Rider | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fine Diamond | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Our Notion | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Grande Felino | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Tempting Lady | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Reassess | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Lady Arwen | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Koutoubia | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Love Like Crazy | 3.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Spirited Ride | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Violets Smile | 5.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Charm of the Song | 15.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | I’m a Lucky Girl | 12.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 2 | 2 | One of the Ones | 20.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mikey’s Song | 12.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.