Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Sister Ella | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Too Spicy | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Getoutofdaway | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jenny’s Day | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Roberts Revenge | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tarkington Girl | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Clever Race | 3.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Saucy Gem | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Nownowdancer | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Long Shot Louise | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Miss St. Claire | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Real Silk | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Guns | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Louisiana Luca | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Quikonthetrigger | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Charbon | 2.50 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hwy Twenty Ride | 4.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Butchy Boy | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Deftly Done | 12.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mischevious Robert | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cowboy Cause | 6.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | My Vision | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Charge the Deal | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Ridearoundsalley | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tapper | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Major Move | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | E K G’s Union | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Princess Deeana | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Your Ladyship | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sierra Hills | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Magnolia’s Mission | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Hint Hint | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Kara Flash | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Bold Exaggeration | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pharoahs Baby Gyal | 1.20 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Madison Rae | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mission Belle | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Crusin Like a Cat | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Broadway Pearl | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Need Some Money | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Dried Pepper | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | B Minor | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Creole Charlie | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Steauxlit | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sparra | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mor Big Lee | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Crime Spree | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sweet Rachel | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Heartthrob Halo | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Golden Quality | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Bet Towinit | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Shamay | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cajun Cattitude | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cajun Catalina | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Don’tcallmepatsy | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Viv’s Wild Aces | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Custom Sunshine | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Numero Siete | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Paynted Blue | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Army Wildcatter | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Loudermilk | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Our Favorite Son | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | El Rojo Vivo | 3.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Flashy Lover | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Puckster | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bradford | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | No Soy Borracho | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Blazing Saber | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Like Clockwork | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | La Boucane | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chahta Citizen | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sweet Candy Boy | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Notime Formischief | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | John Louis’ Bevo | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Whatdidwedo | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | B D Envisionist | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.