Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Our Dream Rye’d | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Den’s Dynasty | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Determined Lover | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Great Runner | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | A. P.’s Secret | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Leviathan Axe | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | I’m Enticing | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Papa Funny | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | County Judge | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Go Purple | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Posetively Perfect | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sparkly | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pass the Woodford | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Glory O | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Happy N Smiling | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sheri’s Prada | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Midnight Lady | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Affair | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Long May She Run | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sabres | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jeri Dawn | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pure Connection | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | La Morena | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | So Jacksann | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Okie Magic | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shawk’s Lil Mia | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Raspberry Martini | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Smart Okie | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gypsy Rose | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Drama Code | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | When Smokey Sings | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Confiding | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Life At Sea | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Keep Up the Pace | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Rickie Roooo Ster | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Falcon Quest | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Good Product | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Down the Islands | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gospel Journey | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Missing Rocks | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tis Charming | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fete | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Guapo | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Town Hero | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Stonington | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Brody’s Chrome | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gospel Mark | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Baker Hayfield | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Cucamonga | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rockin His Sox Off | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Globalist | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Zorro D’ Oro | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Midnight Twister | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Clay’s Worth | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Veracruz | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Copper Magician | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Street Bless’n | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Berry Mischievous | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tom Sawyer | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Innovator | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Coalcowboy | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bijou Bear | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Runhappy d’Oro | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gypsy Mischief | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bradix | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Noble Eagle | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Zohere | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | West Code Mischief | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Runaway Ruby | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Code | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sunday Night Code | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Eurpurdy | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Nachiko | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | One Queen | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Kristy Lynn | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gospel Share | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Black Velvet Rose | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Felony Flats | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.