Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Our Dream Rye’d | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Determined Lover | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Great Runner | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | I’m Enticing | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Den’s Dynasty | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | A. P.’s Secret | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Papa Funny | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Leviathan Axe | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | County Judge | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Go Purple | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Glory O | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Happy N Smiling | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Posetively Perfect | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sparkly | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pass the Woodford | 5.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sheri’s Prada | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Affair | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Midnight Lady | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sabres | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Long May She Run | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jeri Dawn | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pure Connection | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | So Jacksann | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Okie Magic | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Raspberry Martini | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | La Morena | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gypsy Rose | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Shawk’s Lil Mia | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Smart Okie | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Life At Sea | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Drama Code | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | When Smokey Sings | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Down the Islands | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Confiding | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Good Product | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Falcon Quest | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Rickie Roooo Ster | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Keep Up the Pace | 8.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gospel Journey | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Missing Rocks | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tis Charming | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fete | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Brody’s Chrome | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Town Hero | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Stonington | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Guapo | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Gospel Mark | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Globalist | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rockin His Sox Off | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Baker Hayfield | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Zorro D’ Oro | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Copper Magician | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Cucamonga | 3.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Midnight Twister | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Veracruz | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Clay’s Worth | 12.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Street Bless’n | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Innovator | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tom Sawyer | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Runhappy d’Oro | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Zohere | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Berry Mischievous | 3.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gypsy Mischief | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Noble Eagle | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bradix | 12.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Coalcowboy | 6.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bijou Bear | 8.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | West Code Mischief | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Eurpurdy | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Runaway Ruby | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Felony Flats | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sunday Night Code | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | One Queen | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Black Velvet Rose | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Kristy Lynn | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Nachiko | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Code | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Gospel Share | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.