Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Sunnyday Lightning | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Classical Echo | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Shining Away | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Parkin Lot Party | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Maggies Mission | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Woodall Pass | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Deever Encounter | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | One Mo Birdie | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Takeittothehouse | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Goldzone | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Won Bright Light | 4.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | D’busker | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Call Me Susan | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Real Silk | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Anslie’s Gumdrop | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Taken It | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Be Back Again | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ex Gonna | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ev’s Spirit | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mae’s Majesty | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Open Parole | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | One Fancy Lady | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cut N Dancer | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Miss Cheese Bread | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Love in the Dark | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Triple Four | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gigi’s Luv | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mid West Fun | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mo Vista | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Riptide Rose | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Mischievous Smile | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Senor Smoke | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | About the Business | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lifelike | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | One Deal | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gloryland Band | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Zong’s to Blame | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Be Bo | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sunny San Leon | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Floating | 4.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Blaze On | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Now Showing | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | How Bout Me | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Easy Bet | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | One Line Ruler | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | American Guy | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | One Last Thing | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Baby’s Last Dance | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Serrano’s Warrior | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Too Much Long Legs | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Flashin Chip | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Startonahighnote | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Otter Creek | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Won Day | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Madelyn’s Hit | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pip Squeek | 4.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dolly’s Guitar | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | La. Grand Slam | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tiffany’s Ferrari | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sienna Breeze | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Two Jet | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Northernreflection | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Changing Times | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Into Wishing | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Barbacoa | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Heza Pickle | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Deanos Cape | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rockall | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Easy Big Boy | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.