Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Nana Grace | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | With Kindness | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Baby Avery | 12.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pronghorn | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Delicious Diva | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ante Up Tony | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ye Ole Joker | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Episist | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Wildcat Country | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | I’ll Miss You | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dreamofyou | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bye Bye Brady | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Most Amazing | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Kingscliff | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ripple’s Rocket | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bolt’s Munny | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Phantom Slayer | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Onyx Outlaw | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Mad About Marie | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Miss Tappy Tone | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sunny Isle Beach | 6.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dark Dahlia | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Summertimee | 30.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Queen of Salsa | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Oops and Downs | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Rodeo Star | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bee a Queen | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Courtney Fay | 30.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | What’s to Do | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Little Dixie | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Crushed Ice | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Spin the Breeze | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Ninja Warrior | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Devil’s Tower | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fort Sam | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Minnesota Ready | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Frost Free | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Thoughtthatcounts | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Molly’s Town | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Distorted Pro | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Alder | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Only a Dream | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Allo Enry | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Classy Socks | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Chupapi Munyayo | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Blessed Vision | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hoppin John | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Macho Ronnie | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Partyinthestreets | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Cool and Cloudy | 2.50 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Statler | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Stomping Hotrod | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 1A | 13 | Jacks Spring Break | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 2 | Chez Whiz | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Uncashed | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Unlimitedpotential | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Chiringo | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | King Cab | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cold as Hell | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lunar Module | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ceepeegee | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ludwig | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Ghost of Midnight | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Clampett | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Giant Moon | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Clear Echo | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Devils Fork | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Lord Hennessy | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Chromerunner | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Speaking Loud | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Outlaw Run | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Azteca Warrior | 4.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Battleoftheravine | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dawn Strategy | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Castle Gap | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Razorback Army | 12.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Time Andbeyond | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Grey Street | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Ervadean | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Martini | 4.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Amalfi Drive | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Practicallyelusive | 15.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pretty Layla | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Demidanu | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Popperina | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Blue Squall | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Gloriette | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lover Girl | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bow Draw | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Silks Overnight S.) – Silks Overnight S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Amorosa | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kalahari Dreams | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Divine Justice | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Faust | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Amoudi Bay | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hymn | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dreaminblue | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sharp Swinger | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | U Devil You | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Tranche | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tiz Wicked Strong | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Brittany’s Dream | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ambiguous | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tejas | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mansoura | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Italian Symphony | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Remember the Fear | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Aspiring Comedian | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Red Devil | 30.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bettera | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Guadalajara | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Reveille Valley | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | One Mor Story | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.