Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, December 20, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Acquazurra 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Hidden Map 6.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Fregata 8.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 Raging Current 10.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Spare Me 8.00 4.8 9-1
10 10 Mothertwotheblues 20.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 She’s an Earner 10.00 6 11-1
2 2 Sonare 8.00 7.4 14-1
6 6 Rani 4.50 7.6 14-1
9 9 Bugs Malone 10.00 7.6 14-1
3 3 Stellar Knickie 20.00 7.9 15-1
12 12 Baby Hello 20.00 8.9 17-1
13 13 Angelic Katie 10.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Sharp Mindset 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Miss Super Mo 4.50 1 2-1
1 1 Missin Missy 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 What’s Love 6.00 1.8 3-1
8 8 Braken Poppa 4.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Restless Mind 12.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 La Maxima 6.00 5.2 10-1
9 9 Tied the Knot 6.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Nova Nova Nova 20.00 6.3 12-1
3 3 Miss Shane 12.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Longshot Baby 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Obelus 5.00 1 2-1
10 10 Hot Days Ahead 10.00 1.2 2-1
2 2 Easy Munnings 10.00 1.5 3-1
6 6 Walkers Creek 12.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Fancy Fairlane 8.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Golden Tempo 4.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Coronado 3.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Opt In 8.00 6.4 12-1
9 9 Tapcon 8.00 8.1 15-1
8 8 Samcelot 12.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Quick Kiss 3.00 1 2-1
10 10 Leedu 6.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Speightress 15.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 M K’s Rockette 4.50 4.1 8-1
9 9 Gerber Daisy 12.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Irish Punch 12.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 White Smoke 6.00 5.6 11-1
8 8 Niche 8.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Island Flower 5.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Funny Bunny 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Lady Iva 4.50 1 2-1
3 3 Faded Jeans (GB) 8.00 2.4 5-1
5 5 Classy Beach 8.00 3 6-1
10 10 Aurora Sky 3.50 3 6-1
6 6 Channel Check (GB) 8.00 3.2 6-1
12 12 Galatina 12.00 3.5 7-1
11 11 Rodina 20.00 3.9 7-1
9 9 Don’t Come Looking 6.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Enticing Beauty 10.00 4.4 8-1
13 13 Cloud Number Nine 20.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Awesomesauce 8.00 6.1 11-1
2 2 Velveteen 30.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Eskenforave and Ak 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Cowboy Roy 5.00 1 2-1
5 5 Sockdolager 10.00 3 6-1
2 2 Throttle 8.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 Mischief Ride 20.00 3.9 7-1
9 9 Gethsemane 3.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Reagan’s Honor 8.00 5.3 10-1
10 10 Tapit’s Gunner 8.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Trouble Calling 4.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Barracks 12.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Royal Seal 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Karate Island 8.00 1 2-1
10 10 Cruisin Chuck 6.00 2 4-1
8 8 Ramblin 12.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 He’s a Charmer 10.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Aces Honor 10.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Prepped 4.50 2.9 5-1
11 11 Prince of Light 3.50 3.3 6-1
1 1 Look No Mo 15.00 3.6 7-1
9 9 Road Trippin 12.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Rippin 12.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Sweet Retreat 12.00 6.7 13-1
12 12 Matching Funds 10.00 6.8 13-1
14 14 Robert Lee 20.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Shuggy 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Tenacious S.) – Tenacious S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Komorebino Omoide (JPN) 4.00 1 2-1
7 7 Not This Boy 2.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Sir Greylind 6.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Will Take It 20.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 San Siro 20.00 4.5 8-1
4 4 Stowaway 12.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Number One Dude 30.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Just a Touch 1.40 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Buddy Diliberto Memorial S.) – Buddy Diliberto Memorial S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Emmanuel 4.00 1 2-1
2 2 Kupuna 3.50 2.1 4-1
9 9 Gigante 3.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Legalize 8.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Point Proven 12.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Idratherbeblessed 12.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Sand Pipes 6.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Theismann 6.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Secret Chat 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Untapable S.) – Untapable S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Have Faith 4.50 1 2-1
3 3 Hit Parade 2.50 1.5 3-1
1 1 Luv Your Neighbor 6.00 1.7 3-1
6 6 Miss Call 3.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 Pashmina 5.00 3.4 6-1
8 8 Actis 6.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Funny Bunny 12.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Hurricane Kate 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Gun Runner S.) – Gun Runner S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Crown the Buckeye 5.00 1 2-1
2 2 Chip Honcho 4.50 1.7 3-1
7 7 Very Connected 4.50 2.5 5-1
3 3 Liberty National 3.50 3 6-1
8 8 Mister Punch 6.00 4 8-1
4 4 Quality Mischief 10.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Mesquite 4.50 SCRATCH
6 6 Arabia Wild 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Maximum Effort 8.00 1 2-1
11 11 Liberty Valance 4.00 3 6-1
5 5 Market Runner 8.00 4.2 8-1
12 12 Roguishness 5.00 4.4 8-1
8 8 Special Ops 12.00 5.8 11-1
10 10 Black Hornet 8.00 6.1 12-1
3 3 Thunder Buck 8.00 6.8 13-1
6 6 Ocelli 8.00 6.8 13-1
9 9 Awesome Gun 8.00 8.1 15-1
4 4 Kelz 12.00 8.9 17-1
1 1 Raaq Tansani 12.00 11.6 22-1
2 2 Swerve 20.00 12 23-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.