Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, December 20, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Acquazurra 3.50 1 2-1
6 6 Rani 4.50 1.8 3-1
1 1 Hidden Map 6.00 3 6-1
14 14 Sharp Mindset 6.00 3 6-1
2 2 Sonare 8.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Spare Me 8.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Fregata 8.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Raging Current 10.00 6.1 12-1
9 9 Bugs Malone 10.00 6.1 12-1
13 13 Angelic Katie 10.00 6.1 12-1
5 5 She’s an Earner 10.00 6.1 12-1
10 10 Mothertwotheblues 20.00 14 26-1
3 3 Stellar Knickie 20.00 14 26-1
12 12 Baby Hello 20.00 14 26-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Missin Missy 3.00 1 2-1
8 8 Braken Poppa 4.00 1.3 3-1
6 6 Miss Super Mo 4.50 1.5 3-1
9 9 Tied the Knot 6.00 2 4-1
4 4 What’s Love 6.00 2 4-1
5 5 La Maxima 6.00 2 4-1
3 3 Miss Shane 12.00 4 8-1
2 2 Restless Mind 12.00 4 8-1
7 7 Nova Nova Nova 20.00 6.7 13-1
10 10 Longshot Baby 30.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Coronado 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Golden Tempo 4.00 2 4-1
7 7 Obelus 5.00 3 6-1
5 5 Opt In 8.00 6 11-1
1 1 Fancy Fairlane 8.00 6 11-1
9 9 Tapcon 8.00 6 11-1
2 2 Easy Munnings 10.00 8 15-1
10 10 Hot Days Ahead 10.00 8 15-1
6 6 Walkers Creek 12.00 10 19-1
8 8 Samcelot 12.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Quick Kiss 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 M K’s Rockette 4.50 2.1 4-1
4 4 Island Flower 5.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 White Smoke 6.00 3.3 6-1
10 10 Leedu 6.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Funny Bunny 8.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Niche 8.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Irish Punch 12.00 7.8 15-1
9 9 Gerber Daisy 12.00 7.8 15-1
2 2 Speightress 15.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Aurora Sky 3.50 1 2-1
8 8 Lady Iva 4.50 1.5 3-1
9 9 Don’t Come Looking 6.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Classy Beach 8.00 3 6-1
7 7 Awesomesauce 8.00 3 6-1
3 3 Faded Jeans (GB) 8.00 3 6-1
6 6 Channel Check (GB) 8.00 3 6-1
1 1 Enticing Beauty 10.00 3.9 7-1
12 12 Galatina 12.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Eskenforave and Ak 15.00 6.2 12-1
11 11 Rodina 20.00 8.5 16-1
13 13 Cloud Number Nine 20.00 8.5 16-1
2 2 Velveteen 30.00 13 25-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Gethsemane 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Trouble Calling 4.00 1.5 3-1
7 7 Cowboy Roy 5.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Throttle 8.00 3.7 7-1
10 10 Tapit’s Gunner 8.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Reagan’s Honor 8.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Royal Seal 8.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Sockdolager 10.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Barracks 12.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Mischief Ride 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Prince of Light 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 Prepped 4.50 1.8 3-1
10 10 Cruisin Chuck 6.00 3 6-1
13 13 Shuggy 8.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Karate Island 8.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 He’s a Charmer 10.00 6.1 12-1
4 4 Aces Honor 10.00 6.1 12-1
12 12 Matching Funds 10.00 6.1 12-1
6 6 Sweet Retreat 12.00 7.7 15-1
8 8 Ramblin 12.00 7.7 15-1
9 9 Road Trippin 12.00 7.7 15-1
7 7 Rippin 12.00 7.7 15-1
1 1 Look No Mo 15.00 10.1 19-1
14 14 Robert Lee 20.00 14 26-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Tenacious S.) – Tenacious S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Just a Touch 1.40 1 2-1
7 7 Not This Boy 2.00 1.2 2-1
1 1 Komorebino Omoide (JPN) 4.00 1.6 3-1
6 6 Sir Greylind 6.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Stowaway 12.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Will Take It 20.00 5.6 10-1
5 5 San Siro 20.00 5.6 10-1
8 8 Number One Dude 30.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Buddy Diliberto Memorial S.) – Buddy Diliberto Memorial S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Gigante 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Kupuna 3.50 1.2 2-1
5 5 Emmanuel 4.00 1.5 3-1
7 7 Theismann 6.00 2.4 5-1
4 4 Sand Pipes 6.00 2.4 5-1
6 6 Legalize 8.00 3.4 6-1
8 8 Idratherbeblessed 12.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Point Proven 12.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Secret Chat 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Untapable S.) – Untapable S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Hit Parade 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Miss Call 3.00 1.2 2-1
2 2 Have Faith 4.50 1.8 3-1
7 7 Pashmina 5.00 2 4-1
1 1 Luv Your Neighbor 6.00 2.4 5-1
8 8 Actis 6.00 2.4 5-1
5 5 Funny Bunny 12.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Hurricane Kate 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Gun Runner S.) – Gun Runner S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Liberty National 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Mesquite 4.50 2.1 4-1
7 7 Very Connected 4.50 2.1 4-1
2 2 Chip Honcho 4.50 2.1 4-1
5 5 Crown the Buckeye 5.00 2.6 5-1
8 8 Mister Punch 6.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Arabia Wild 8.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Quality Mischief 10.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Liberty Valance 4.00 1 2-1
12 12 Roguishness 5.00 1.7 3-1
9 9 Awesome Gun 8.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Ocelli 8.00 3.8 7-1
10 10 Black Hornet 8.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Market Runner 8.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Thunder Buck 8.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Maximum Effort 8.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 Special Ops 12.00 6.5 12-1
1 1 Raaq Tansani 12.00 6.5 12-1
4 4 Kelz 12.00 6.5 12-1
2 2 Swerve 20.00 12 23-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.