Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Close Up | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Autumn in Vermont | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Tea Rose | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Julia’s a Fox | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Feel the Bolt | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Whiskey Brew | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Rylnnslookinglucky | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Daytime Drama | 4.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Class and Sass | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tasty Time | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Intrepid’s Legacy | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Formal Affair | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Davyjonz | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Elvis Himself | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Masayoshi | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gluckstadt | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Winning Trip | 3.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Awesome Andy | 1.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Pont Aven | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Paintmymasterpeace | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ballinaclash | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Matthew’s Ticket | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Adamonthegrill | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Boorada | 30.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Chalk Talk | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Swill | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Freeze the Fire | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Seven’s Eleven | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gun It | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Catahoula Moon | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Night Preacher | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Excellent Timing | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tiz No Clown | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Howard And Sondra Bender Memorial S.) – Howard And Sondra Bender Memorial S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Quint’s Brew | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Slam Notion | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Blue Kingdom | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bold Diversion | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cap Com | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Showstopper Copper | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Carousel S.) – Carousel S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Complexity Jane | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lute Warm | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | The Sky Is Falling | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sultry Lass | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Di’s Surprise | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Late Nite Call | 20.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bailintin | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Doctor Abbie | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Audibly | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Secret Journey | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Intrepid Mo | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Politely S.) – Politely S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Takethemoneyhoney | 1.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Harriett | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Onyx Ten | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Conquerthosewecan | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Grayson’s Girl | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Green Eyed Monster | 4.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Devil Pays in Gold | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Itsamonstamash | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Robert T. Manfuso S.) – Robert T. Manfuso S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Post Time | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Teachintherelease | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Barbadian Runner | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hittheroadjak | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pay Billy | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Point Dume | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Secret Zipper | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Not This Boy | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | She’s a Good Girl | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Just a Click | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Mary Ann | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fastfeld | 15.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Poney Island | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Take Charge Candy | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rosie’s Fortune | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Crab Mentality | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Gripen | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.