Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Wartank | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Heats Hero | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bolt’s Treasure | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Awol | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | More Money Mo | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bo Bo Dough | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gobekli | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Nerazurri | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lady Aberdeen | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pink Ruby | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ma Rae’s Girl | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Feasible | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sultry Kitten | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Up the Creek | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Eskenforaraise | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Aintnoshakin Kid | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Crevalla de Vil | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Clap Back | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Avery County | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Big Red Machine | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Nyad | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Flower Stone | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Jawdropper | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | News Too Serious | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cowboy Killer | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pretty Dang Fast | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bella’s Atreides | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Compassionista | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Bohemian Bo | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Navy Seal | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | One Ten Stadium | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chrome’s Echo | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Al’s Romeo | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Willow Creek Road | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bettys Cash | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Patton’s Tizzy | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Afleet Sky | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Moonlight Dash | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Electrifying Lady | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Key to Success | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Queen’s Martini | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Untamed Moment | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Filly Crystal | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Kelly’s Girl | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | The Great Maybe | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lite It Up Louie | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Ce La Vi Charli | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Stylish Lady | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lookster | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lady of Silence | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Promisemeanempire | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Kissin Cash | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Onmywaytosavthday | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Thea | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Reign Champagne | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Revelant | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Crew Dragon | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | King Peanut | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Authentic Gallop | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Glass of Jameson | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Chun Money | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bavaria Road | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Aero Star | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Hey Big Un | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tresillian | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Farley Hall | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Speechless | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Lear | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Tinsel S.) – Tinsel S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Rattle N Roll | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Willy D’s | 1.80 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Runaway Again | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Money Supply | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Woodcourt | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mackman | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dimatic | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Eglise | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Classify | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lips Say Bliss | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Gold Sweep | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Carbone | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dive Bomber | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Schwarzmeier | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Big City | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Linzer | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Politicallycorrect | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Invictus | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Raise the Bar | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Turn Up the Trees | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Run Jalen Run | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Inexorable | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sinner’s Sin | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 11 | 11 | B Sudd | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gunflash | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cybertown | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Missin Hollywood | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Orange Diablo | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.