Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Gold Plus | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Foxy Zorra | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Spicy Italian | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Thisoneisforyou | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sister Saint | 4.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | She’s Extra | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Pasketee | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cash Holiday | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sir Mack | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Righteous Freedom | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Catchin Drama | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Half Way There | 3.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Patek | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Queen’s Knight | 12.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Seeking a Soldier | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tap the Tequila | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Bright Note | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Paradise Ridge | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bistineau Beauty | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mo Simple | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Love Getaway | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lil Bit Forgotten | 20.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Custom Value | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Geaux Crazy | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Annala | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mazilynn | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Faith’s Spirit | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Spielman | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Somekinda Mischief | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Wizard of Yester | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lemon Sohn | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | To the Chief | 15.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | One Grand Slam | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Kin to the Wicked | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | My Other Half | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | It’s Been Real | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | The Rain Is Gone | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | All You | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Southern Queen | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | John’s June | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bronze Legacy | 8.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Totally Mitole | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Flash of Chaos | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | One Tough Road | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Different Gravy | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Election Night | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Athletic Like | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Orville’s Map | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Graceful Standard | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Improbable Dream | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Liberty’s Champion | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Heart Headed | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Usually Wrong | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Champlin | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mondogetsbuckets | 4.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Henro | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | High Front | 3.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Ampitup | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Drewmazing | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sonofaship | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cajun Cyclone | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Flashy Premo | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Top Priority | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Apriority Rocket | 5.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Hooray Austin | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Samurai’s Grandson | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bet On Bobby | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Country Guy | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Handsome Harold | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.