Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Gold Plus | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Foxy Zorra | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Thisoneisforyou | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Spicy Italian | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sister Saint | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | She’s Extra | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Pasketee | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Half Way There | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sir Mack | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cash Holiday | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Righteous Freedom | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Catchin Drama | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Queen’s Knight | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Patek | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Seeking a Soldier | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tap the Tequila | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Bright Note | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Love Getaway | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Paradise Ridge | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bistineau Beauty | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Custom Value | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Geaux Crazy | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mo Simple | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lil Bit Forgotten | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Annala | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Spielman | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Faith’s Spirit | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Somekinda Mischief | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mazilynn | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Wizard of Yester | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lemon Sohn | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | One Grand Slam | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | To the Chief | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Kin to the Wicked | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | It’s Been Real | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | My Other Half | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | The Rain Is Gone | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | All You | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bronze Legacy | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Southern Queen | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | John’s June | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Totally Mitole | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Flash of Chaos | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Election Night | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Liberty’s Champion | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | One Tough Road | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Graceful Standard | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Orville’s Map | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Different Gravy | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Improbable Dream | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Athletic Like | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Heart Headed | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Usually Wrong | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | High Front | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Champlin | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mondogetsbuckets | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Henro | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Drewmazing | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Ampitup | 4.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Apriority Rocket | 5.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Country Guy | 6.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Handsome Harold | 6.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Sonofaship | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Hooray Austin | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bet On Bobby | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cajun Cyclone | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Samurai’s Grandson | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Top Priority | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Flashy Premo | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.