Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Worries Unfounded | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Radiant Tones | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Spirit and Truth | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tasty Time | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | I’d Rather Not | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | My Emi Shiraz | 8.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hey Alexa | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Julie Belle | 6.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 1 | 1 | C C Commander | 30.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Macha Latte | 4.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Platform | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mr. Keys | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Preacha Meyers | 1.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Celtic Prince | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Snookie Bear | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Holiday Express | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Gonzalo | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sugar On Fire | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sin Sin | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Turf to Dirt | 8.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mr Cefolo | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Inno Hurry Early | 5.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Above the Norm | 2.50 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Broadside Salvo | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Babble | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Blo By’em | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Artist Mark | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Half a League | 6.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Who Says So | 4.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | D Hopper | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ollie Boy | 30.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Uncle Grey | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | New York Strong | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Pico Plat | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Zio Lino | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Farooq | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tell ‘Em I’m Comin | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Manseeyasway | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Atlantic Cat | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Shot for the Moon | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | James P Sullivan | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Karma’s Inthehouse | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Tom S | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | What Does It Take | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Be Better | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fightertown | 12.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | States United | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1A | 9 | Hay Chief | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 10 | Mr. Hustle | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 12 | P J’s Song | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Caerus | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Quincannon | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 11 | Likebelivingnmagic | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Running River | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Yorkville | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 10 | Worcester | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Margin of Air | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1A | 8 | Hagrid’s Flame | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Omaha Omaha | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Xcellent Start | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Arrow Speed | 30.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Riyadh Moon | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Magic Mule | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 11 | Armando R | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 5 | Love Me Not | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Otter Mischief | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Prince of Jericho | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Chipotle | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Showstopper Copper | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Northern Flame | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Heard On Thestreet | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Radical Right | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Karan’s Notion | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bump N Run | 30.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Grand Opening | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Major Houlihan | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Don’t Tell Kelly | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Isabella’s Glory | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Maximo Madness | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Baby Sox | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Judith’s Cross | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Honor the Truth | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lachicafortequila | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.