Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Worries Unfounded | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Macha Latte | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Radiant Tones | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Julie Belle | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tasty Time | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Spirit and Truth | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | My Emi Shiraz | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | I’d Rather Not | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | C C Commander | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hey Alexa | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Preacha Meyers | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Snookie Bear | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Holiday Express | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Celtic Prince | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Platform | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mr. Keys | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Above the Norm | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sugar On Fire | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sin Sin | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Inno Hurry Early | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gonzalo | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Turf to Dirt | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mr Cefolo | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Babble | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Broadside Salvo | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Blo By’em | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Artist Mark | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pico Plat | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Who Says So | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Half a League | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | D Hopper | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | New York Strong | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ollie Boy | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Uncle Grey | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Atlantic Cat | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tell ‘Em I’m Comin | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Shot for the Moon | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Zio Lino | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tom S | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Farooq | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Manseeyasway | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | James P Sullivan | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Karma’s Inthehouse | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Be Better | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | What Does It Take | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 10 | Mr. Hustle | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | States United | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 2 | Caerus | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1A | 9 | Hay Chief | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Yorkville | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fightertown | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 11 | 12 | P J’s Song | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Quincannon | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Running River | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 10 | 11 | Likebelivingnmagic | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 10 | Worcester | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 5 | Love Me Not | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1A | 8 | Hagrid’s Flame | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Otter Mischief | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 11 | Armando R | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Margin of Air | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 4 | Omaha Omaha | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Xcellent Start | 15.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 9 | Riyadh Moon | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Magic Mule | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Arrow Speed | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Prince of Jericho | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Grand Opening | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Showstopper Copper | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chipotle | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Radical Right | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Northern Flame | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Heard On Thestreet | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Karan’s Notion | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bump N Run | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Major Houlihan | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Maximo Madness | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Don’t Tell Kelly | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Isabella’s Glory | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Baby Sox | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Honor the Truth | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lachicafortequila | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Judith’s Cross | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.