Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Summer Shoes | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | The Girl in Red | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Kitiara | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ngala | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wildwood Queen | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | She’s Storming | 6.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Golden Edge | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Courageous Cappen | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Memory Maker | 6.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Windy Walk | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Our Liberty Belle | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cervaro Della Sala (GB) | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Miranda’s Rocky | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Up On the Edge | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tiffany Twist | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Little Sister Sue | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mo Sense | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Springtown | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Montana Cafe | 10.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mamoot | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Matt’s Luck | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | He Is Heaven Sent | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Solevo | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Wind Rider | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tapwrits Temper | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Nacho Bar | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Skibidi Rizz | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Steel Link | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | J J’s Joker | 8.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cane Creek Road | 10.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Born Flawless | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rabbit Hound | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Knicks Story | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sergeant Gump | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | City of Clouds | 8.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jacks Spring Break | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Big Boss Ben | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Golden Hornet | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Secret Legend | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | La Lengua | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stormy At Midnight | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | World Fair | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Poppa Echo | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Dawn At Normandy | 2.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gun Fire | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lower Broadway | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Saving Heart | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | A Long Time | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tall Cotton | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | I Got No Munny | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Stage Left | 4.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fifty Cent Dollars | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sir Sterling | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Aaron | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lightning Struck | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Little Steven | 6.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Holiday House | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Konteekee | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Bob’s Carrot | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Thunderhawk | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pride’s Prince | 12.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Baytown Bruiser | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Camp Evans | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Scottish Storm | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ripped | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Big Hammer | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Royal Bro | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rowdy Riot | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Poinsettia S.) – Poinsettia S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Hillerito | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jersey Pearl | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Benedetta | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tapit Quick | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kant Believe It | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gray Lightning | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Adogate | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Low Key | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | L. A. Woman | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Floating Beauty | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Authentic | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Quiet I’m Not | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bang Bang Fury | 20.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Vino Tiempo | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Allihies | 4.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | New Light (CHI) | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | End of Innocence | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Gowells Delight | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Zaghruta | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lady Woopig | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Crimsonite | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mysidehustle | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dream Nap | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | She’s Not a Joke | 8.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Kerry’s Kiss | 10.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lobby Rendezvous | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Esperanza’s Spirit | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Chasing Shadows | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.