Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Blackjack Mary | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sayyoulovemebaby | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sassi Idol | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Seeking Hope | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Opaque | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dreamchaser Jewels | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gab’s Humor | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Our Keepsake | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Black Ginger | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Moon Mist | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Beautiful Mischief | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Brunch Punch | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jilly’s West | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Dr. Dean | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Unlawful | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mogumbeaux | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Minimus Maximus | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gary P | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ohm Namo | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sainted | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chatty Milligan | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | No Deal Or Deal | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Sittin On Go | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bayou Jam | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mobster Gun | 4.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Moro Mafia | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sam’s Promise | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Global Pride | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | River Raft | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Star Ready | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | King Zog | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Knight’s Valor | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Severus Squall | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Swamp Pop | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | He’s a Real Outfit | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Legendary Dream | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Get the Boss | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Luke’s Hippie | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Super Taco | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Custom Punch | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Destiny’s Grace | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Give Em Hail Gayle | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Piggy Tales Up | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wings of a Sparrow | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Custom Candy | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Funtimegirl | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Beautiful Temple | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gap Daddy | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Raise the Alarm | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Radiant Rebel | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Pasila | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cool Lucky Lady | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Eve of Eve | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Crawfish Burl | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gimme It All | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rememberin Ronald | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ann’s Storm | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Rosewater S.) – Rosewater S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Mo for Us | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Nodah | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | La Nina Dorada | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Blessed Assurance | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Island Gold | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | C C Short Drive | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Saved by Grace | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Dealority | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lola and Rose | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Prince Lancelot (GB) | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Golden Quality | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Summertime Peppers | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sarah’s Vision | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Strong Eagle | 6.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Scallywag | 6.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | El Mero Mero | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Karaoke | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mor Jazz | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Lost Da Vinci | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Iberian Runner | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gotta Deal | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.