Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Dreamchaser Jewels | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sayyoulovemebaby | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sassi Idol | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gab’s Humor | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Seeking Hope | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Blackjack Mary | 1.80 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Opaque | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Our Keepsake | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Moon Mist | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Black Ginger | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jilly’s West | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Brunch Punch | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Beautiful Mischief | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Unlawful | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | No Deal Or Deal | 15.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Minimus Maximus | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chatty Milligan | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gary P | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sainted | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Dr. Dean | 2.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mogumbeaux | 4.50 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ohm Namo | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Sittin On Go | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mobster Gun | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Global Pride | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | River Raft | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Star Ready | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Moro Mafia | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sam’s Promise | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bayou Jam | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | King Zog | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Severus Squall | 4.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Get the Boss | 15.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Knight’s Valor | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | He’s a Real Outfit | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Luke’s Hippie | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Swamp Pop | 5.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Super Taco | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Legendary Dream | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Custom Punch | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Piggy Tales Up | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Custom Candy | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Destiny’s Grace | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Funtimegirl | 12.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Give Em Hail Gayle | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wings of a Sparrow | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Beautiful Temple | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gap Daddy | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Cool Lucky Lady | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Raise the Alarm | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Radiant Rebel | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Eve of Eve | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gimme It All | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Crawfish Burl | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ann’s Storm | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Pasila | 4.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rememberin Ronald | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Rosewater S.) – Rosewater S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | La Nina Dorada | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mo for Us | 1.60 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lola and Rose | 20.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Island Gold | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Nodah | 3.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Saved by Grace | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Dealority | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Blessed Assurance | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | C C Short Drive | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mor Jazz | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Strong Eagle | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sarah’s Vision | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | El Mero Mero | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Golden Quality | 3.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Summertime Peppers | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gotta Deal | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Lost Da Vinci | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Iberian Runner | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Scallywag | 6.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Karaoke | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Prince Lancelot (GB) | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.