Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Curly Q Girl | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lion Lake (IRE) | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Pan Pan | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | That’s Amore | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Brat Pack | 4.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Forget About You (IRE) | 12.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tiadoro | 8.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Beautiful Justify | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Osmosis (FR) | 5.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Treasured Times | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Birch Run | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Araucano | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Expert Witness | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Secret Power | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Final Payment | 2.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Distinguished Gent | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Magic Red | 1.80 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Temperature Rising | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dominican Thunder | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Sound of the Beast | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Song So Sweet | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dreams of Myfather | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Accelerate Me | 2.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mustang Bay | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Titan | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Triumphant Road | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Lucky Berry | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Goldie Glory | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Well Shaken | 1.20 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sweet Ruby | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Divine Blue | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | She Grins | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rosie Dozie | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Alas Doradas | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Shades of Jade | 1.40 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Clay Soldier | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | The Dove Rules | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Molly’s a Bullet | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sparkling Star (PER) | 30.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Zazzy | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | On the Payroll | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Feeling Macho | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | El Guty | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Imapeppa | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Final Drama | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dogwood Crossing | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Milo | 3.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fighting Words | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | American Speed | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | American Farmer | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Baytown Parfait | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bulldoze | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Roscoe Pine | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rashid | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Las Olas | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Maktub | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Souper Quest | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | American Monarch | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pure Class | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jack’s Promise | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Neshume | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Saint Tapit | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Beach Colt (CHI) | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Via Borghese S.) – Via Borghese S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | No Show Sammy Jo (GB) | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | La Mehana (FR) | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Alluring Angel (GB) | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gallant Greta | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Madame Mischief | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Venencia (FR) | 3.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Louise Procter (FR) | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Celestial Express | 50.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.