Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Tempting Lady | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Battling Time | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Violets Smile | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Love Like Crazy | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Everheart | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Starship Legend | 10.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Reassess | 10.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Koutoubia | 10.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mikey’s Song | 10.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Spirited Ride | 10.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Charm of the Song | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | I’m a Lucky Girl | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Faytastic | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lady Arwen | 15.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 |
| 1 | 1 | One of the Ones | 20.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Miss Cinnamon | 20.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Preach It Warrior | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Exclusive Dancer | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Regalpains | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fully Committed | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Auden | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kevin’s Strike | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Watch Hill | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Modern Era | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bijah Again | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Just Be Honest | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Vin Santo | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Prime Motive | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Malibu Warrior | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Notturno | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Three Point Strut | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Inmortal J | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Noble Gentleman | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Real Blues | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Real Conviction | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ramiel | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Yodel E. A. Who | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hey Porter | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Storming Chrome | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Eloquist | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Amity Road | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Asmodeus | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bestsugardaddyever | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cody Pass | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Traffic Master | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Bootleg Runner | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Our Notion | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wave Rider | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Freely Held | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Star Sweeper | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Racetrack Romance | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fine Diamond | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Grande Felino | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Basin Bay | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Dr. Steve | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Veeson | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Uncle Heavy | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Party At Sam’s | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gordian Knot | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sharp Tones | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wax Box | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rebel Invasion | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Respirator | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Shining Spirit | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cloud in the Wind | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bedtime Story | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Winkiwinki | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Obstinate | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rolls Royce Joyce | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Why Not Babe | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Queen Wiggy | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Sofster | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | So Swell | 15.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gia’s Fuego | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Onthisharvestmoon | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Five Star Fran | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Popthechampagne Ro | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Simply Stated | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Miles of Smiles | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Laura | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Ambitiously Placed | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Flower Mound | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jump a Fox | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sundria | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Spicy Delight | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Mildoon | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Normandy Life | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Never Sway | 15.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Telephone Line | 15.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Boss Like Beth | 20.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 16 | Last Romance | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Warrior’s Vendetta | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Agarramesipuedes | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Smooth Motion | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Darvesh | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 18 | 18 | Majestic Frontier | 10.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Classic Union | 10.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 17 | 17 | Bet N Win | 12.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Shouldhavebeengone | 12.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cattin | 15.00 | 12.9 | 24-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Sir Cupid | 20.00 | 18 | 34-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Under the Radar | 20.00 | 18 | 34-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Joey the Fish | 20.00 | 18 | 34-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Batter Up Bud | 20.00 | 18 | 34-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sheer Dominance | 20.00 | 18 | 34-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Zippy Gizmo | 20.00 | 18 | 34-1 |
| 15 | 15 | It’s Authentic | 20.00 | 18 | 34-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Marchin Into April | 20.00 | 18 | 34-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Pacific Princess | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bad Temper | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Fuhgeddaboudit | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Burning Embers | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Clout Chaser | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Lullaby Land | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Aruma | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tomarie | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sirani | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Forest Maiden | 15.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Moon Fleet | 15.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 2 | 2 | R Tenderoni | 20.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Angelic Storm | 20.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Girlfromouterspace | 20.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Spanish Girl | 20.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Three Captains | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Geebert | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fight Fiercely | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bourbon Aficionado | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Carbonite | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Cassation | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Capital Conquest | 10.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Competitive Saint | 12.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Uninvited Guest | 15.00 | 12.9 | 24-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bali Amour | 15.00 | 12.9 | 24-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Gun Maestro | 15.00 | 12.9 | 24-1 |
| 18 | 18 | Strawberry Treat | 15.00 | 12.9 | 24-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rockin Freebee | 20.00 | 18 | 34-1 |
| 17 | 17 | Zihuatanejo | 20.00 | 18 | 34-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Hap’s Victory | 20.00 | 18 | 34-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Crack the Code | 20.00 | 18 | 34-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Catch My Vibe | 20.00 | 18 | 34-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Roxton | 20.00 | 18 | 34-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.