Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Music | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | High Summer | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Well Aware | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tartaria | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Taker Back | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | My Bossy Lady | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Balladry | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Miwoman | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Payton’s Beauty | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Quibble | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Apollo Rising | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Critical Threat | 10.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sound of Victory | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tahoe Sunrise | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Coppermaster | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | One Cool Dude | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Winter’s Ghost | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Runningforcash | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Global Empire | 20.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Wartime Hero | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Big Paper | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Come Out Fighting | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Bolt At Midnight | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Hot Gunner | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | What’s Crackin | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Jeopardy | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Singing Emma | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Iuka Miss | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Collected Glory | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Crushed Ice | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | First Hill | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sicilian Grandma | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dixie Penny | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Publisher | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Nu What’s New | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Eleven Bravo | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Barker | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mystical Merlin | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bon Temps | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Magical Wish | 5.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fight Time | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Wobbegong | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Globalist | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Igniting Embers | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Midnight Whirl | 2.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Arkansas Dave | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Arco Thunder | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Huckaby | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Yancopin | 3.50 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Best Flat Out | 4.50 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Roku Nana | 30.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bernardi | 20.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bali Deen | 8.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Brysonards | 30.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Monadnock | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Turn Up the Trees | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Raymond | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Caramel Chip | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | El Diablo Rojo | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Vale | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sutherland | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lord Majesty | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Big Gain | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wind of Change (BRZ) | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Sara’s Shaman | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Creative Minister | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Onthestage | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Underhill’s Tab | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Winit | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hern | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Unload | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Rebelious | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | American Outlaw | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Bold Discovery | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Pats Property | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Eye Witness | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Treble Clef | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Pippin S.) – Pippin S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Corningstone | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Peignoir | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | In Just My Heels | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Standoutsensation | 1.80 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Queen Azteca | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Reagan’s Flame | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Speed King | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Coach Jimi D | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Suncroft | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Touchdown Arkansas | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Drewvictory | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hailstorm | 6.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Perfect Force | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Frack Baby | 15.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Secured Lender | 8.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Max Got Excited | 4.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Heavenlyconveyance | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Eternally Grateful | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Words of Wisdom | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Couperin | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Metatron’s Muse | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dual Monarchy | 2.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Speightster Red | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Proven Advocate | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Twirling Troillet | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lemon Drop Shot | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ben Franklin | 4.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Swiss Guard | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Camp Daddy | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Ember | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Curlin’s Malibu | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.