Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | My Bossy Lady | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tartaria | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Music | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | High Summer | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Taker Back | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Balladry | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Well Aware | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Miwoman | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Payton’s Beauty | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Quibble | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Wartime Hero | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sound of Victory | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Apollo Rising | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Winter’s Ghost | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Critical Threat | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Runningforcash | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Coppermaster | 15.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tahoe Sunrise | 15.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Come Out Fighting | 15.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Global Empire | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Big Paper | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 5 | 5 | One Cool Dude | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bolt At Midnight | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Hot Gunner | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Collected Glory | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Dixie Penny | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Jeopardy | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | First Hill | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Crushed Ice | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Iuka Miss | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sicilian Grandma | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Singing Emma | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | What’s Crackin | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Publisher | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Nu What’s New | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Magical Wish | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Wobbegong | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Barker | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Globalist | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fight Time | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Eleven Bravo | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mystical Merlin | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bon Temps | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Midnight Whirl | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Yancopin | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Best Flat Out | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Igniting Embers | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bali Deen | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Arkansas Dave | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Huckaby | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Monadnock | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bernardi | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Arco Thunder | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Brysonards | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Roku Nana | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Turn Up the Trees | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Raymond | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | El Diablo Rojo | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Caramel Chip | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wind of Change (BRZ) | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Vale | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Big Gain | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lord Majesty | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sutherland | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Sara’s Shaman | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Creative Minister | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Underhill’s Tab | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hern | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Unload | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Onthestage | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Winit | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | American Outlaw | 15.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Pats Property | 20.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Eye Witness | 20.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Bold Discovery | 20.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Treble Clef | 20.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Rebelious | 20.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Pippin S.) – Pippin S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Standoutsensation | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Corningstone | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Peignoir | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | In Just My Heels | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Reagan’s Flame | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Queen Azteca | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Speed King | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Coach Jimi D | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Max Got Excited | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hailstorm | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Secured Lender | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Suncroft | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Frack Baby | 15.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Drewvictory | 15.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Touchdown Arkansas | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Perfect Force | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Heavenlyconveyance | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Curlin’s Malibu | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Dual Monarchy | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Words of Wisdom | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ben Franklin | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Eternally Grateful | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Metatron’s Muse | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Couperin | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Proven Advocate | 12.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lemon Drop Shot | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Ember | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Speightster Red | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Camp Daddy | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Swiss Guard | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Twirling Troillet | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.