Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Lady Delilah | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | On a Summer Day | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bodegas | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Endless Kiss | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Morgana’s Moment | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bank On Bebe | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Powerful Jo | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Pink Rose | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Patty Cakes | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pistol Liz Ablazen | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pens Street | 2.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mursal | 3.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Luna Moth | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Whistler’s Style | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Champagne Surprise | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Aggregation | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lotsa Trouble | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Shipsational | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Market Maven | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Quiet Wisdom | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bar Fourteen | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Barnstorming | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Good Bali | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Desperate Proposal | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Doomed | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Always Be Smart | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Solar Glare | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Indy Rags | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Caddiemaster | 3.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Bold Strength | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Duration | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Salvation | 1.60 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Radauti | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Free Spin | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fateful Lightning | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Limo | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Excellorator | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gunner Bay | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Chileno | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Celestial Glaze | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Shattuck | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Executive Order | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Cicciobello | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Mo Kreesa | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Spirit Dragon | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Skytown | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mo Go | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | New York Scrappy | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | King Phoenix | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lean Music Machine | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Red Miller | 4.50 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Solo Dancing | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Bay Ridge S.) – Bay Ridge S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Landed | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Soloshot | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cupid’s Heart | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bernietakescharge | 2.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fast and Frisky | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Atlantis Queen | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Five to Two | 50.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Berning Beauty | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hey Toby | 4.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Aula | 12.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bob John Ray | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Corvus | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Concorde Spirit | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sanzio | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Landauer | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Smallchangegeep | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Eric From Miami | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Metatron | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Take Me to Londyn | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Itwillbefun | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Spirit of Esther | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Timia | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cha Cha Wren | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Furry Fox | 20.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mia Nipotina | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | That’sthefactjack | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cara’s Chianti | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Blue Eyed Scout | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.