Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, December 28, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Money Drop 3.50 1 2-1
6 6 I Got the Hint 4.50 4.1 8-1
4 4 Respectheconnect 6.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Saboteur 8.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Magic On the Mike 8.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Sly Jack 8.00 6.4 12-1
7 7 Tiz Mary’s Comet 4.50 7 13-1
8 8 Azteca Storm 4.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Asthecoldwindblows 6.00 1 2-1
1 1 Final Half 3.50 1.1 2-1
3 3 Angelic Knight 3.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 Big Nickel 6.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 Josh G 3.50 2.4 5-1
7 7 Deal of Faith 6.00 6 11-1
5 5 Vega Star 5.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Wickedly Royal 3.50 1 2-1
8 8 About to Set Sail 3.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Sweet Morgan Leigh 4.50 4.5 9-1
1 1 Broadway Star 6.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Sassi Sky 12.00 6.8 13-1
7 7 Platinumus Maximus 3.50 7.4 14-1
2 2 Delightful Halo 12.00 7.5 14-1
3 3 My Royal Princess 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Briterdayzahead 12.00 1 2-1
4 4 Summer Splash 8.00 2 4-1
6 6 We Miss Arlington 6.00 2 4-1
2 2 Guile 2.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Spoke 5.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Strange Arrange 8.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Premium 4.50 4 8-1
5 5 Julia’s Warrior 8.00 5.2 10-1
9 9 Treaty 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Tuck Check 4.00 1 2-1
10 10 Unleash the Power 3.00 1.4 3-1
8 8 Not Falling Back 10.00 1.4 3-1
4 4 Flamingproposition 12.00 1.9 4-1
6 6 Mary’s Boy Bolt 5.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Raising Kane 8.00 2.9 5-1
7 7 Sir Liam 8.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Tango Mike Mike 20.00 5.1 10-1
9 9 Edgerton 10.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Cobblestone Bridge 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Hey Boss 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 Glen Airy 2.00 1.5 3-1
5 5 Next Level 4.50 1.7 3-1
8 8 Interlock Empire 3.50 2.1 4-1
2 2 Hard to Fathom 15.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Space 12.00 2.9 5-1
6 6 Texas Splurge 20.00 6.2 12-1
7 7 Now and Later 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Mo Expectations 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Scarlet Poppy (IRE) 2.00 2.3 4-1
10 10 Pisciotta (GB) 3.50 3.5 7-1
7 7 Autism Community 10.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 Sophie’s Cruiser 10.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Jocasta 15.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Doudoudouwanadance 20.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Conch Fried Rice 15.00 6.7 13-1
4 4 Classic Performer 20.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Peak Earnings (GB) 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Honor His Half 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 Where’s Aunt J 6.00 2.9 5-1
7 7 Alexaplayborntorun 15.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Unified Love 20.00 3.9 7-1
10 10 Zipping Molly 5.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Steal Me Over 8.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Pat Hand Girl 20.00 6.6 12-1
11 11 Fitts N Starts 30.00 7.5 14-1
2 2 She Has It All 2.50 SCRATCH
5 5 Copper Moon 20.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Emilyhasherturn 6.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.