Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Money Drop | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Azteca Storm | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | I Got the Hint | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tiz Mary’s Comet | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Respectheconnect | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Saboteur | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Magic On the Mike | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sly Jack | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Angelic Knight | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Final Half | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Josh G | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Vega Star | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Deal of Faith | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Big Nickel | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Asthecoldwindblows | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | About to Set Sail | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wickedly Royal | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Platinumus Maximus | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sweet Morgan Leigh | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Broadway Star | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Delightful Halo | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sassi Sky | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | My Royal Princess | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Guile | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Premium | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Spoke | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | We Miss Arlington | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Summer Splash | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Strange Arrange | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Julia’s Warrior | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Treaty | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Briterdayzahead | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Unleash the Power | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tuck Check | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mary’s Boy Bolt | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sir Liam | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cobblestone Bridge | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Raising Kane | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Not Falling Back | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Edgerton | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Flamingproposition | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tango Mike Mike | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Glen Airy | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Interlock Empire | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hey Boss | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Next Level | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Now and Later | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Space | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hard to Fathom | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Texas Splurge | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Scarlet Poppy (IRE) | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mo Expectations | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Pisciotta (GB) | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Autism Community | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sophie’s Cruiser | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Peak Earnings (GB) | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jocasta | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Conch Fried Rice | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Classic Performer | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Doudoudouwanadance | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | She Has It All | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Honor His Half | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Zipping Molly | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Where’s Aunt J | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Emilyhasherturn | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Steal Me Over | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Alexaplayborntorun | 15.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Unified Love | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pat Hand Girl | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Copper Moon | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Fitts N Starts | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.