Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Island Home | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Ramayana | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Heavenly Belle | 20.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Improbable U | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Chair’s Coin (IRE) | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Photogenic | 30.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Luckiest | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Springline | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Authentically | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Angel Baby | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Split | 30.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ibiza Flavor | 30.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Bailarina | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Soul Sister | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Plagarist | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Captain Shreve | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Secured Freedom | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Winston Ave | 1.80 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Liam Smith | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Commissioned | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Newton | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Runamileinmyshoes | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Miss Artois | 10.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Take Another Card | 12.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Toes | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Candy Bar | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | My Perfect Wave | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Corporal Violette (IRE) | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Starts Now | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Delightful Laura | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Royal Charter (GB) | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Firsttimeinforever | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Queen Sienna (ARG) | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Rizzleberry Rose | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Practical | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Diva Cat | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Wishtheyallcouldbe | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Buds N Suds | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cayucos | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Perfect Life | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Brookys Gal | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Honey Bucket | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Clubhouse Bride | 10.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Sexy Blue | 20.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Timekeeper’s Charm | 6.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cloudy Rose | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Mathis Mile S.) – Mathis Mile S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Friendly Confines | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lyle The Crocodile (IRE) | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Namaron (GER) | 1.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tempus Volat | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hiding in Honduras | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Geometry | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Maaz (FR) | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Laffit Pincay, Jr. S.) – Laffit Pincay, Jr. S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Nysos | 0.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Nevada Beach | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Vodka Vodka | 15.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Indispensable | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bartholdy | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cornishman | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | British Isles | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Yacowlef (IRE) | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Hotrocket (IRE) | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Anmer Hall | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mucho Del Oro | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mescalero | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Ballyvaughan Gig | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Proof He Rides | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Winning Patriot | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Legitimate | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | I’mgonnabesomebody | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Katonah | 10.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sneaking Candy | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Doncic | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Charge for Gold | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (La Brea S. Presented By Don Julio) – La Brea S. Presented By Don Julio
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Usha | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Formula Rossa | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Brilliantly | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Simply Joking | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Her Laugh | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Five G | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Artisma | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Silent Law | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | So There She Was | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Schilflied | 50.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Magnificat | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (San Gabriel S.) – San Gabriel S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Endlessly | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Stay Hot | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mondego (GB) | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Nineeleventurbo | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Nesso’s Lastharrah | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | St Anthony | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Astronomer | 4.50 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cabo Spirit | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Flashiest | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Suchet (FR) | 6.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Twirling Point | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Malibu S.) – Malibu S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Midland Money | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Modus Bestia | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Speedy Wilson | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Berlin Wall | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Madaket Road | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Goal Oriented | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Smooth Cruisein | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Barnes | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Cornucopian | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Spenard | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (American Oaks Presented By Cygames) – American Oaks Presented By Cygames
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Slick (IRE) | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cliffs | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Atsila (IRE) | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Will Then | 3.50 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Ribbons | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Totally Justified | 5.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Resolve | 30.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Take A Breath (GB) | 15.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
| 9 | 9 | As Catch Can | 8.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
| 1 | 1 | A Thousand Miles | 30.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ambaya | 8.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.