Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Aleramo (IRE) | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | True Patriot | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sakura Flavor (IRE) | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Exington | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Step It Out (IRE) | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sweet Delta Dawn | 4.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Union Heiress | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lady Lithesome | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | A Great Shaking | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Meridian Mae | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Goje | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gogotiz | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Goodgollytizmolly | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Billie Holiday | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Christa McAuliffe | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Blue Norther S.) – Blue Norther S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Hypergamy | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | La Ville Lumiere | 1.60 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Latte Luv | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Peanutbutterbombe | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wild Like the West | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Total Val | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Into the Hall | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Manhattan Beauty | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lubie’s Music | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tupelo | 30.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mad Pursuit | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Convo | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sparrow | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Thatsalrightmama | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Mr. Leasure | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cathal (IRE) | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sketchy | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Captain Choochies | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | American Glory (GB) | 4.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | The Old Nine (IRE) | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Spearfish | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Oobubbakakayo | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Thirty Two Chunk | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Scatify | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tessuto | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Uncle Chilly | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mr. Machupicchu | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Maximus | 30.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ballyhooligan | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | B Grayson | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Joe Hernandez S.) – Joe Hernandez S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Motorious (GB) | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sorrento Sky (IRE) | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Yellow Card | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | El Potente | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sumter | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Gas Me Up | 5.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Zio Jo | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Flyover | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Schwarzmeier | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Awesome Rhythm | 20.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Son of a Birch | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | First Peace | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Imagination | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Feel the Magic | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Unconquerable Keen (IRE) | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Known Idea | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | The Gypsy Cowboy | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Oubabe | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Left Hand Man | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Austonian | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Team Player | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Strongerthanbefore | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mr. Disrespectful | 3.50 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Keithing Thunder | 10.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Speed Grazy | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Rio Grande | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Charlie’s Curlin | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Keagman (IRE) | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Medici | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Essos | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | House of Mischief | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mendel’s Tune | 5.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Biggiebiggiebiggie | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Nezha | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Saharian | 30.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | American King | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Chapter One | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.