Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Ellie Moore (IRE) | 0.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Miss Emily | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Slim Causeway | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Adayinspain | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Queen Berkeley | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Special Feature | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gold Miracle | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | East Shore | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Miss Rosie | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rosy Edge | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kerrigan’s Touch | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chattanooga Crew | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Little Z | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mo Dixie Diva | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Cut Day | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | C F Jimmy Ray | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dixie Strong | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Prince Perfecta | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Analitico | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | S D’s Takeover | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lincoln Production | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Easy Eddie A | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Toms Lucky Mo | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Big Roux | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Might Be Me | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Nelle Tue Mani | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Absolute Chaos | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Time to Party | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | My Uncle Leon | 4.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Baron of the Nile | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Incredible Shot | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Red Idol | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Polterer | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mosquito Fleet | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Missing Brian | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Final War | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Falcon Cove | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Reckless Love | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bearister | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sherkhan | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lee Street | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cardinal Cushing | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rockin’ James | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Apriority Catch | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cute Dinero Queen | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Czar’s Ballerina | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Target | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Beulah K | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Girl Thirsty | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lightening Mo | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Agami | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Bind Faith | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Guitar Doctor | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Alterana | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Truvy’s Bandit | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Holy Bayou | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Supreme Capo | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Forsaken | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tiz Marks Spirit | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Suitable | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Cajun Ami | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | My Pal Sweet | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ranch Water | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Iron in the Fire | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Home Visit | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | The Boss Soss | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tonteria | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Chad’s Flash | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Country Deals | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Deal Em Justice | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Daddy’s Gift | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Quik Punch | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Majestic Palace | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | About the Business | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Valid Deelite | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Leisurely | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Blondate | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Zapaway | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Live Affair | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Lacey’s Kat | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 6 | 6 | B D Primary Ours | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.