Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
| 7 |
7 |
Where’s Your Boom |
1.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
| 4 |
4 |
Leave Me |
8.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
| 1 |
1 |
Tizlawry |
8.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
| 3 |
3 |
Twenty One Red |
5.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
| 6 |
6 |
Combat Mission |
2.50 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
| 5 |
5 |
Le Cadeau |
4.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
| 2 |
2 |
Lord King |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
| 2 |
2 |
Mission Critical |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
| 6 |
6 |
Classic Commander |
8.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
| 3 |
3 |
Bootsy’s a Rascal |
6.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
| 8 |
8 |
Mosconi |
8.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
| 1 |
1 |
Qbits |
3.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
| 7 |
7 |
Life’s Too Short |
15.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
| 5 |
5 |
Calvary Hill |
30.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
| 4 |
4 |
Pride of the Union |
1.60 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
| 3 |
3 |
Maxaluna |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
| 1 |
1 |
Hey Cookie |
3.50 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
| 2 |
2 |
Will Not Be Swayed |
3.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
| 5 |
5 |
In Awe of Juju |
8.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
| 7 |
7 |
Sheer Will |
5.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
| 8 |
8 |
Carolina Smokeshow |
15.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
| 4 |
4 |
Tiz Purple |
10.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
| 6 |
6 |
Sassy Princess |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
| 7 |
7 |
Counter Move |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
| 6 |
6 |
Good Cop |
3.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
| 2 |
2 |
Sabby Sunset |
5.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
| 5 |
5 |
Forgone |
4.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
| 10 |
10 |
Army Proud |
6.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
| 4 |
4 |
Big Brown Delivers |
20.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
| 3 |
3 |
Dr. Merciless |
50.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
| 1 |
1 |
Perfect Shephard |
20.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
| 9 |
9 |
Undergrad |
5.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
| 8 |
8 |
Monte Avi |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
| 2 |
2 |
Hadrian’s Wall |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
| 1 |
1 |
Ottinho |
2.50 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
| 7 |
7 |
Double Act |
4.50 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
| 6 |
6 |
Gulfy |
6.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
| 3 |
3 |
Grey Bull |
15.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
| 5 |
5 |
Print |
15.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
| 4 |
4 |
Mr Baldy |
20.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
| 9 |
9 |
Geostoblame |
12.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
| 8 |
8 |
Baltimore |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
| 4 |
4 |
Kerness K |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
| 6 |
6 |
Typhoon Fury |
8.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
| 2 |
2 |
Re Markably |
4.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
| 1 |
1 |
Derek’s Law |
4.50 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
| 3 |
3 |
Complex Music |
12.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
| 9 |
9 |
Tarpaulin |
10.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
| 5 |
5 |
Capt Jax Parrow |
12.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
| 7 |
7 |
Let It Ride |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
| 8 |
8 |
Big Z Og |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
| 5 |
5 |
Kay Cup |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
| 3 |
3 |
Accelerating |
6.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
| 7 |
7 |
Hangover Heaven |
8.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
| 2 |
2 |
Munnings Express |
3.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
| 8 |
8 |
Intentious |
12.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
| 6 |
6 |
City Blocks |
6.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
| 10 |
10 |
Storm Changer |
20.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
| 4 |
4 |
Bam’s Bliss Kiss |
15.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
| 9 |
9 |
Lika Rolling Stone |
12.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
| 1 |
1 |
Mommasgottagun |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
| 9 |
9 |
Amundson |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
| 8 |
8 |
Emerald Forest |
3.50 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
| 7 |
7 |
Pot of Gold |
10.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
| 1 |
1 |
Prince of Truth |
12.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
| 2 |
2 |
For Some Reason |
6.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
| 4 |
4 |
Tiberius Mercurius |
12.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
| 3 |
3 |
Run Happy Pappy |
20.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
| 6 |
6 |
Mister J T |
20.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
| 11 |
11 |
Glint |
30.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
| 5 |
5 |
Scaramanga |
20.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
| 10 |
10 |
Sin Nombre |
12.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
| 12 |
12 |
O P Firecracker |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.
