Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Oliverio | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dan d’Oro | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | No Rematch | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dixie Doctor | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Peyton’s Day | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tsuperman | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Princess Celine | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Geaux Geaux Tiger | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pam’s Friend | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mya Papaya | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Veronicaforthewin | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Honor and Obay | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lyla’s Golden Gal | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Gold Plus | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Simona’s Choice | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dixie Morning | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Huntleigh | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Zoom Erin | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Emilyhasherturn | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shorty Mac | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | In Your Life | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ruby the Destroyer | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Boitano | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fortuity | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Brit’s Wit | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Red Road | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Big Scully | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ben Dreaming | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Notion | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Skip the Line | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Sendero | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 12 | 12 | All in Sync | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Z Z’s Prince | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Publius | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Parrot Head | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Prowling Tiger | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Vineaux | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Top Notch Protocol | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cajun Moviestar | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lightning Twirl | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rescue Squad | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Such a Pickle | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Who Is Chief | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ayden’s Edge | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Ogilvy (IRE) | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shakin My Head | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | High Go | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mountain Grandeur | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fast Connection | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Strong | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Moral Man | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Leonardo | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Starmetal | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Chasing Gray | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Darlin | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Trust Fund Philly | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hay Evabody | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Terra Bella | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Miss Maximus | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shan’s Quest | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Arijana’s Pearl | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | I’m Wide Awake | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Vesture | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mega Magic | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Pharoah’s Dynasty | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hit That Review (IRE) | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Unbeatable | 10.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | One True Gentleman | 12.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sassi D | 12.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 2 | 2 | This Time | 12.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Silver Halo | 12.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sight | 12.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Colt’s Brim | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Crigler | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Josan | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Stone Alliance | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shawn’s Solving | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Baby’s Last Dance | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gordito Hermoso | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tap the Tequila | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Saberman | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.