Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Penei | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | He’s Ready to Win | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Valhalla Viking | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Toms Lucky Mo | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Beach Trippin | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | El Lagarto | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Not Free | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Straight Dropbilly | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Silver Redesdale | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | After the Game | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Drobny | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Last Second Louie | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hard Kings | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chief Kimosabi | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pure Malice | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Drewrelius | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mingling Mo | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | F J’s Mayhem | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Big Woods | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Blackberry Crown | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ninth Ward Bobby O | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ole Mister | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Imperial Bandit | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Moondoggie | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jackson’s Speaker | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Jazzy Gal | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Exploding Circle | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Imperial Assault | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Graceful Star | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Star of Astrology | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Molli Way | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lassie Bee | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Bradford | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Heart Prints | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Puckster | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Big Duck | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Notime Formischief | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Iron Fortune | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Littlebitofajimmy | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Super Taco | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Track Ranger | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Solidify | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gucci Boy | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Surprise Road Trip | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Celtic Pride | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Timehascome | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Smoothdini | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Play the Trumpet | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sweet Fantasy | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Our Favorite Son | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Numero Siete | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Max Is G Money | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mo Moves | 6.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Golden Quality | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Wolf Man Jack | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Two Dollars | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | El Rojo Vivo | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Flashy Lover | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Grazen Boy | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Hes the Bomb Too | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gabbys Bling | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Awesome William | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dixie’s Astro | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mo Sopo | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cali Dreamin | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Quikonthetrigger | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Stray Cat Strut | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dee’s Legs | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | I’m a Night Train | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Lacey’s Kat | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Native Requite | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.