Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Miss Watermelon | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sounds Lucky | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wolf Hill | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Banzai Betty | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Getting Closer | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bank Shot | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Soul Sister | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | East Boca Kibbutz | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Molly Jensen | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tom’s Star | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Going Great Guns | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Celestial Skies | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dancing Thru Fire | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lucky Nea | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Tiger Fire | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | A Toast to Lanie | 1.80 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Headstrong Ways | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lena Lindgard | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Walk’n the Beach | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Reckless Optimism | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Selsae | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mia Mac | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Infinitum | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Otto’s Magic | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Maury Wills | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Big Bill | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Omnificent | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Vron by You | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Strait Up Country | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | High King | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Roxiiesbadboy | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Dirty Words | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bluegrass Go Go | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Broadway Unions | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Spiritist | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Whats the Buzz | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cupid’s Crusader | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Naval Harbor | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Unbreakable Trust | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Comedy Town | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Red Flag | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Simple Song | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | See Through It | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hawker | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Decapo | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Style Cat | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Whiskyginandbrandy | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | R Heisman | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Just a Kiss | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Nothing Is Forever | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Stop Digging | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Quantum Innergy | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Nanci Griffith | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Miz Clubcali | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Garden Party | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | California Rocks | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | One Happy Dude | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lanzador | 4.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Golden Chaser | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wasted Warrior | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | One Step Beyond | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Kiki Ride | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gentleman Rancher | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Matts Advisor | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | La Motta Avenue | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Voucher | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Jimmy Delivers | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jamal | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Tascadero | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.