Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Chariot | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hear Thunder | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bad Joke | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Parole Drama | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dr Hinckley | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Guitar Guy | 5.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Seize the Port | 10.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | A G’s Charlie | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Casa Cielo | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sav’n Money | 10.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rude Procedure | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Big D | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tedder | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Archimedes | 4.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bridge Classic | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ketchum | 6.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Distorted Song | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Louisiana Futurity) – Louisiana Futurity
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Little Miss Curlin | 0.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Liteupthenite | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wickedwithbourbon | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Varinisi | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | El Star | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Justlikelouise | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Miss Metoyer | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | American Taylor | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bohemian | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Faye’s Gold | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Coach Mazzula | 3.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Noshametohergame | 2.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pretty Ribbon (IRE) | 3.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Election Night | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Props | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Federal Agent | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Campanario | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Zip to Zap | 3.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Impavido | 3.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Standard Deduction | 6.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Key Man | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Brock’s Boy | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Patron Silver | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | High Street Pizzaz | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | War Belle | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Boost Me Baby (IRE) | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dagmara | 3.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ontology | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Alone Time | 4.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lowenstein (IRE) | 6.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Real Drama | 6.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ur Desire | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Louisiana Futurity) – Louisiana Futurity
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mor Force | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Our Moneyman | 1.40 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Golden Mane | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Dickie T | 4.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | All Lake | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Guitar Guy | 15.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mo Whiskey | 6.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Slowdownanmoveover | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Alotlikechocolate | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Candy Talking | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Velcamp | 5.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Collective Beauty | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Front Runnin | 10.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dale’s Bluff | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | The Town Tempter | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Unfaithful Rose | 3.50 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | No Time Left | 4.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | She’s a Live Wire | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Undisputable | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Traitour | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gold Gunner | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Titanium Man | 12.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Max S | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Classic Sensation | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tequila n’ Salt | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lunar Mine | 4.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Full Command | 4.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Too Cold At Home | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.