Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Thunder Zeus | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Candy Addiction | 20.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Versailles Road | 4.50 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Dark Hope | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Weseeulator | 2.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bluegrass Pike | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Believein | 10.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Doctrine | 8.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mo Ladies | 8.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Blazing Tiger | 2.50 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Animated | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tapstick | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Secret Power | 30.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Distinguished Gent | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jimbo Bailey | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Goldinthesky | 3.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mully’s Moon | 2.50 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hillbilly Bob | 10.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Speaker’s Lobby | 6.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | One of One | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Madness | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sunroof | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Worldly Beauty | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Compass Rises | 1.80 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Celestial Express | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | She Takes Cash | 3.50 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Musical Journey | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Valen Time | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mo Finds | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Righteous | 1.20 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Epico | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sweeping Shadow | 4.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ez Orb Not | 2.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Smash City | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Internal Capital | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Neural Network | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wannabeeloved | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wrecking Ball | 10.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Triumphant Road | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Secret Bagent Man | 2.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Get Ready to Rock | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dangerous Driver | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Ginger Brew S.) – Ginger Brew S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Storm’s Wake | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tideoftime | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sister Troienne | 1.60 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bert’s Knoty Girl | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Spirit Doll | 2.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | R Slew of Cash | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bayou Brigid | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Laigina | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mizzou | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Noble Sky | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Playa Azul | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Thunder Roll | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sidearm | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Justy Han | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Make Me Famous | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Playing Tricks | 2.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | McRavin | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | George Briggs | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Smooth Breeze | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Founders | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Our Souper Hero | 5.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | King d’Oro | 8.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Junction Road | 10.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tee At One | 30.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sigan Viendo | 4.50 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ramblin’ Wreck | 6.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Ever Dangerous | 15.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Mo Hijinx | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Freaks Go | 8.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hollen Drive | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kadabra | 2.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Canton | 3.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dakota’s Lil Auror | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Slay the Day | 1.60 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Mucho Macho Man S.) – Mucho Macho Man S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Blame Yasself | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tripp’s Promise | 5.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Roger That Dana | 20.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cabourg | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Max Capacity | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Thunder Chuck | 6.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mr. Hooligan | 50.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Commandment | 1.40 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Epic Summer | 3.50 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | White Palomino | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pass the Hat | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Global Prosperity | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Discreet Dancer | 15.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Into It | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Telescopic | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Walking in Memphis | 6.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Concord Green | 3.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Themanupfront | 8.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Ironsides | 5.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mary’s Lad (IRE) | 8.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.