Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Santiana | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Silvertown | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pippa’s Noncents | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Crevalla de Vil | 1.80 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Justice Addition | 6.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ducat | 10.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 2 | 2 | N Z Holly | 4.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Tizzlin | 30.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
| 6 | 6 | On Ramp | 4.50 | 10.9 | 21-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Steal Your Soul | 20.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Heavenly Destiny | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Famous Pharoah | 15.00 | 12.2 | 23-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Compassionista | 30.00 | 13.7 | 26-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Cowboy Killer | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Max Dot Socks | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Task | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hicko | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Azteca Warrior | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Battleoftheravine | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Devils Fork | 4.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Holus Bolus | 8.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Grey Street | 12.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bote | 8.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Dawn Strategy | 30.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Clear Echo | 12.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Cavanal | 30.00 | 13.2 | 25-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Speaking Loud | 30.00 | 13.6 | 26-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Outlaw Run | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Meelo Time | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Misinformation | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bricklin | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Opus Uno | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | L Rankin | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jets Rio | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Chad Allan | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Speed It Up | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Treadstone | 10.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Large Risk | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Renaissance S.) – Renaissance S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Strong Potential | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dirty Rich | 1.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Obliteration | 1.40 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | How Bout That Curt | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Swung | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Canned Heat | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Tiz Authority | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Mitchell’s Joy | 30.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Torched | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Predators’ Ball | 6.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bienville | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Violence in Red | 10.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Mr Fancy Pants | 8.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Silver Prince | 2.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Just Jo Jo | 10.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Spike the Punch | 10.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Reclamation | 5.00 | 10.3 | 20-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Midnight Menace | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Biloba | 20.00 | 12.5 | 24-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mikestrumpcard | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Attersee | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 13 | 13 | City of Oscars | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Major Dax | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Right On Right On | 3.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stoke the Fire | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Guardian | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Expect the Best | 4.50 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Scottish Storm | 15.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Anthonian | 4.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Master Mule | 5.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dynamis | 30.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 6 | 6 | First Bid | 15.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Copper Echo | 12.00 | 12.9 | 24-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Global Quote | 10.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Zippy Mark | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Rock Solo | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Nicholai | 1.80 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Brahms Image | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Two Dollar Eddie | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Landlord | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rocket Sanders | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hess | 10.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Choctaw Zip | 15.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Table Money | 15.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Mr. Butch | 20.00 | 11.4 | 22-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Shake Up | 20.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mansoura | 30.00 | 13.7 | 26-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Stormbender | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Super Cruise | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Render Judgment | 2.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gun Runner Charlie | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Oy Gevald | 4.50 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Riddle Solver | 6.00 | 10.3 | 20-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Myra’s Boy | 12.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Afleet Sky | 30.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Midnight West | 30.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Capo Luca | 30.00 | 12.2 | 23-1 |
| 7 | 7 | La Houligan | 15.00 | 12.9 | 24-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dance Some Mo | 4.00 | 13.1 | 25-1 |
| 1 | 1 | The Warden | 15.00 | 13.2 | 25-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Mena | 20.00 | 13.4 | 25-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Timing Difference | 15.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Commodore Overnight S.) – Commodore Overnight S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Second I D | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Thoughtthatcounts | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Concrete Glory | 1.80 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Banjo Chris | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Echo Again | 2.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bourbon Bash | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rexford | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Navy Seal | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mischievous M | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Spankster | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Lucius Verus | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Smarty Jones S.) – Smarty Jones S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Rancho Santa Fe | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Silent Tactic | 12.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Boca Beach Club | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Universe | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Oscar’s Hope | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sleepingonfreedom | 5.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Baytown Dreamer | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Strategic Risk | 6.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Scar Ship | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | J. P. Race | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Run Jalen Run | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sweet as Sin | 30.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 14 | 14 | B Sudd | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Itsinmyblood | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Five o’ Somewhere | 2.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Heart N Soul | 30.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Vital Mind | 4.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Eli’s Promise | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Al’s Romeo | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 12 | 12 | American Xperiment | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Map to the Stars | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Stiglets | 3.50 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Favoritism | 15.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.