Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Contraband Early | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hudson’s Day | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | My Dad’s Guitar | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Regatta Bay | 1.20 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Triple Four | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Saucy Argument | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Byathread | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Steel Venom | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lil Bro Coop | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | License to Steal | 12.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dr. Niko | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Crecencio | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Battleoflexington | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Concentration | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Thebabeslayer | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Eskenforave and Ak | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Victory Prince | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Musical Band | 4.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Global Honor | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Lil Central | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Metairie | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Temple of Peace | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Alwaysfreaky | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Zong’s Favor | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Jus Surprise Me | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Reach for the Aces | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Texas Queen | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sister Lily | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Relevate | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cloud Number Nine | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Olympic Star | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Miz Chris | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | True Blue Sky | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Roar of Silence | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Deal’em and Weep | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Desert Glow | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | April’s Gem | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Start Singing | 4.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | All About Me | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Irish Kitten | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Talksalot | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Spicy Italian | 15.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Gypsan | 12.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Blueberry Eyes | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Im Singled Up | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Berlaine | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Reimagine | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Emancipation | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Outlaw Empire | 8.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Kazoom | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Halo Music | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | A Cab On the Rocks | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Rudie Won’t Fail | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Awesome Magic | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | S S Radio | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Chicanery | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Straitshootinlarry | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Denizen | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | McGinnis | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Royal Irish | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Film At Eleven | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Zun Reyder | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Greasepaintgroucho | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rivage | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Don Pablo | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Carc Brothers | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Where Y’at | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | What’s Love | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Restless Mind | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Fade to Gold | 1.60 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Braken Poppa | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Stella Guitar | 12.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Simple Spice | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Our Castle Queen | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rainy Day | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bistineau Beauty | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Sweet Aurora G | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Lost Art | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.