Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Regatta Bay | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Contraband Early | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hudson’s Day | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Triple Four | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | My Dad’s Guitar | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Saucy Argument | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Byathread | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Battleoflexington | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dr. Niko | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Steel Venom | 4.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lil Bro Coop | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Concentration | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | License to Steal | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Crecencio | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Thebabeslayer | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Musical Band | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Eskenforave and Ak | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Victory Prince | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Global Honor | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Lil Central | 12.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Temple of Peace | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Metairie | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Jus Surprise Me | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Zong’s Favor | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Alwaysfreaky | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Reach for the Aces | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Texas Queen | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Relevate | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sister Lily | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Miz Chris | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cloud Number Nine | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Olympic Star | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Roar of Silence | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Desert Glow | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Start Singing | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Blueberry Eyes | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | True Blue Sky | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Berlaine | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Deal’em and Weep | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | April’s Gem | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Im Singled Up | 12.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Gypsan | 12.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Reimagine | 12.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Spicy Italian | 15.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Irish Kitten | 20.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
| 7 | 7 | All About Me | 20.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Talksalot | 20.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Emancipation | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Kazoom | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | A Cab On the Rocks | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | S S Radio | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Halo Music | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Outlaw Empire | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Chicanery | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Straitshootinlarry | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Rudie Won’t Fail | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Awesome Magic | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Denizen | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | McGinnis | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Zun Reyder | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Royal Irish | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Carc Brothers | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Don Pablo | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Where Y’at | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Film At Eleven | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Greasepaintgroucho | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rivage | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Fade to Gold | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Braken Poppa | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Restless Mind | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | What’s Love | 10.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Sweet Aurora G | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stella Guitar | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lost Art | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Simple Spice | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Our Castle Queen | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bistineau Beauty | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rainy Day | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.