Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Brosnan | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Like and Subscribe | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Wilburton | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Amazing Music | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Astro Beau | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Witch Waydidhego | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Extract’s Arrow | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Chief Valor | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mitchell’s Joy | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mikestrumpcard | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Boltoro | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Saranac Lake | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Queen of Salsa | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Differently | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | C. C. Harbor | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 12 | 12 | What’s to Do | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Q’s Your Mama | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Grace Given | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Oops and Downs | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Moenchanted | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Rodeo Star | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sorry Not Sorry | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Eagle Dance | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Touch of Magic | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Maximum Offer | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sissy Sox | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Smokin Hot Stuff | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sangarette | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cold Case | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gwen to Win | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Mighty Atlas | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Ember | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gee No Hollander | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gettysburg Address | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Khozy My Boy | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hero’s Medal | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bettera | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Bolt At Midnight | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Easy Fast | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Coppermaster | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Reveille Valley | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Red Devil | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hoppin John | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Papa Funny | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Catching Freedom | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gun Party | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Woodcourt | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Presidential | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Trademark | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Empire Builder | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Winnemac Avenue | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Seize the Night | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Notary | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Otello | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Redriver Storm | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Actif Baby | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Signdsealddeliverd | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Sisters in Town | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Crazy Caroline | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Menu | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bossoftheblock | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mspunkinsperegrine | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Step That Way | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lady Strategy | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Battisto | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Standup Triple | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 7 | 7 | She’s Our Daffodil | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jack’s Gal | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Grand Oracle | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Be Real | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Flyin Private | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Secret Legend | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Trouble Ahead | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Gun Fire | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Coastal Breeze | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Historic | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Ky Do Declare | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tall Cotton | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lower Broadway | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bigwrigdude | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Flat Out Blessed | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Keokuk Kid | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Titled Lady | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stellar Lily | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | St. Albans Raid | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Edistrudis | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Talkin in Cursive | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bow Draw | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Windy Bay | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Lite It Up Louie | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Aloha Baby | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lady Dreamer | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mercy Warren | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lover Girl | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Factor That | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Aintnoshakin Kid | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Mockingbird S.) – Mockingbird S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Woodstock | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Walk Away Kaye | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wakuda | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Knickleandime | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Prowess | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Evolution | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Grace Is Free | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Colonial Rose | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Overcome Adversity | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Kerry’s Kiss | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gowells Delight | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ozona | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Showers | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bolt On the Rocks | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ce La Vi Charli | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kentucky Smokeshow | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Thestral | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Quiet I’m Not | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lady Woopig | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Eskenforaraise | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Thea | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | El Prestigio | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Oy Gevald | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lundberg | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Clampett | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Zat’s the One | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Miracle Worker | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Hailstorm | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | B Sudd | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gunflash | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | El Rey Dorado | 15.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Strike Ridge | 15.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Al’s Romeo | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Amoudi Bay | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Berry Mischievous | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.