Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Brosnan | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Astro Beau | 12.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Wilburton | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Like and Subscribe | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Witch Waydidhego | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mitchell’s Joy | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Extract’s Arrow | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mikestrumpcard | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Chief Valor | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Amazing Music | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Boltoro | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Differently | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Queen of Salsa | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Grace Given | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | C. C. Harbor | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Q’s Your Mama | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | What’s to Do | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Moenchanted | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sorry Not Sorry | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Rodeo Star | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Oops and Downs | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Saranac Lake | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Maximum Offer | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Eagle Dance | 1.40 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Smokin Hot Stuff | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Touch of Magic | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sissy Sox | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cold Case | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sangarette | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gwen to Win | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Mighty Atlas | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gettysburg Address | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bettera | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hoppin John | 30.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Ember | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Reveille Valley | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hero’s Medal | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Coppermaster | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Khozy My Boy | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gee No Hollander | 4.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Papa Funny | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Red Devil | 30.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Easy Fast | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Bolt At Midnight | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Empire Builder | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Catching Freedom | 1.60 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gun Party | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Woodcourt | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Otello | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Winnemac Avenue | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Presidential | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Seize the Night | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Notary | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Trademark | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Redriver Storm | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mspunkinsperegrine | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Crazy Caroline | 8.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Signdsealddeliverd | 3.50 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sisters in Town | 4.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bossoftheblock | 10.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Menu | 10.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | She’s Our Daffodil | 30.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jack’s Gal | 30.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lady Strategy | 15.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Battisto | 20.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Step That Way | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Standup Triple | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Actif Baby | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Be Real | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Flyin Private | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Secret Legend | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Coastal Breeze | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Grand Oracle | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Trouble Ahead | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Gun Fire | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lower Broadway | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bigwrigdude | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Historic | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Flat Out Blessed | 30.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tall Cotton | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Ky Do Declare | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Keokuk Kid | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Titled Lady | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stellar Lily | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mercy Warren | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | St. Albans Raid | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Edistrudis | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lover Girl | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Aloha Baby | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bow Draw | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lady Dreamer | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Windy Bay | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Aintnoshakin Kid | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Factor That | 30.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Lite It Up Louie | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Talkin in Cursive | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Mockingbird S.) – Mockingbird S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Walk Away Kaye | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Woodstock | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wakuda | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Prowess | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Evolution | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Grace Is Free | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Knickleandime | 4.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Gowells Delight | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lady Woopig | 20.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Showers | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Colonial Rose | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bolt On the Rocks | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Thea | 30.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kentucky Smokeshow | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Quiet I’m Not | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ce La Vi Charli | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Thestral | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ozona | 5.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Eskenforaraise | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Overcome Adversity | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Kerry’s Kiss | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Lundberg | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Clampett | 6.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Oy Gevald | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | El Prestigio | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Strike Ridge | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Miracle Worker | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | El Rey Dorado | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gunflash | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | B Sudd | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Al’s Romeo | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Amoudi Bay | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Berry Mischievous | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Hailstorm | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Zat’s the One | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.