Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Midnight Flight | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Secret Oaks | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Samantha’s Capo | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Natures Fury | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Alyvia’s Lil Girl | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wanting Attention | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Catrina Zar | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Storming Nun | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Breezefromtheeast | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Blue Betty | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Shines Madelin | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 12 | 12 | West Side Diva | 4.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Second Best | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Queen Catalina | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fifty Nine Fifty | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | To Be Loved by You | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Joyful Joyce | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Channel Loop | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Spanish Girl | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Wonderfulvenezuela | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hard Spice | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Eleanor Rigby | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Imperial Spy | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lion in the Sun | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | It’s Authentic | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hard Performer | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Warheaded | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Splitting Stones | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Showpiece | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gunman Jayvo | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | The Hero Code | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ten Plus Ten | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Compa | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wyatt Hunter | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | We Miss Neil | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Kuz It’s Chilly | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | One Improbable | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Stillwater Moon | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Major Mischief | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Coach Clint | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Crack the Code | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Zihuatanejo | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Big Dosser | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Marty’s Magic | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | First Money | 4.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Vanzzy | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ira the Icon | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rackataptap | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Tactical Humor | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bird King | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Jayjaydee | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Deplane | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Bullet Breeze | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Warrior’s Vendetta | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Assembly Point (BRZ) | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Impressiveness | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Housebuster Dude | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Joseph Potato | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Filled With Desire | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Relentlessness | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Nilambar | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Please Pat My Back | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Starrosso | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ur Honey | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Soar Above | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | J Cody | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Easy Action | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Liberty Star | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Borracho | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Frost Mountain | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | The Heights | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Uncaptured Star | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bad Advice | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Time Tested | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Geebert | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Holy Synergy | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Exciter | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Rosie Warrior | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Gurt’s Reward | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Let’em Hate | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Inner Excellence | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Extrasexyzqteepeye | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Inanoceanoflove | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Slash Alley | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Polar Magic | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Disco Hopp | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 7 | 7 | South Boundary | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Double Your Money | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Missouri River | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Hope’s Alive | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tricolour | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sturdy | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Secured Landing | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sunday Spirit | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Metalhead | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Ohio Joe | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Nixon Joy (ARG) | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Majestic Tiger | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 15 | Ocala Dream | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Hatch | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Nicole’s King | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Nancy Made My Day | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Golden Candy | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Tuff Constitution | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mose Perfect | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pogi | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Fight Fiercely | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mr. Roundtree | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Amazing Woo | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Sam Wheat | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Brindisi | 20.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Immense Faith | 20.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
| 2 | 2 | This Run’s for You | 20.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.