Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Stinger Bee | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kerner | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wampanoag Chief | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Alphadini | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | El Tamalero | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Irish Wish | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Ducale | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Diamond Heist | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Full Irish | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Aggrandize | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | No No Joe | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hot Rod Rumble | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Catire Vizcaya | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Big Brown Shoes | 5.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cobble Road | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Stella Mars | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mainstream Sellout | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Emily’s On Fire | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | So Swell | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mollewantacracker | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Classy Miss | 4.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tomarie | 4.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Clout Chaser | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lullaby Land | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Burning Embers | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pacific Princess | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Amaterasu | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sirani | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bad Temper | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Nohai | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Lucky Larry | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Vino Gray | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Accelerated Dating | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Supernova Dream | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Quetzal Island | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | React | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bigshot Ness | 3.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Twooutathreaintbad | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Smooth Motion | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Majestic Frontier | 6.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cattin | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Agarramesipuedes | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Batter Up Bud | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Back East | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | King Deivys | 2.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Trotsky | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Real Men Violin | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Atrocious | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tavern Time | 2.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Magnificent Rags | 4.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Party With Smarty | 3.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Give Her Another | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Harmony Road | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Devils Arrow | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Up N Runnin | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Irish Banba | 2.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | D’oro Road | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Capital Conquest | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bourbon Aficionado | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Run Cory Run | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Carbonite | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Competitive Saint | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bet N Win | 5.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Midnight Getaway | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shanghai Superfly | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Zippy Gizmo | 15.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Modern Midas | 8.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gun Maestro | 15.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Frosted Lace | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Hala Blue (IRE) | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Inamorata | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Purple Lu Lu | 2.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Champagne Mischief | 4.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Browneyedvalentine | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sandy Girl | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Angel Mesa | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Red Betty | 15.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Flaming Eyes | 20.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Savannah Georgia | 12.00 | 11.4 | 22-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Saint Grace | 12.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.