Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Sasafran | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Warm Reception | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | French Moonlight | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Silver Flirt | 30.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Danzig Til Dawn | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Benster | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mperfection | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Green Zone | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Suntory Time | 3.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tis Sunrise | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Syntax | 5.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 98 | Siempre Naman | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Maniatic (IRE) | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Resemblance | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Contrary Chieftain | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Crypto Ride | 3.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Big Juanito | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Spun Not Stirred | 5.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Taishan | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Elegant Boy | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Eddie Logan S.) – Eddie Logan S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Plutarch | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Stark Contrast | 1.40 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Iriseach (IRE) | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Third Beer | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Brigante | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Unrivaled Time | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Caro Buono (FR) | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Cherry Cider | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | French Blue | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kizazi | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lady Detective | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ethereal Quality | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tokala | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Red Cherry | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Greys Over Bays | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Feisty Red Head | 12.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Piney Woods | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Imaboutago (IRE) | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gratefully | 1.80 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bit’s Tiger Magic | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hoshiana (FR) | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Marian Cross (GB) | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Young Love | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Donttellourwives | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tahini | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Tommy Norris | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Joker Went Wild | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Positive Times | 15.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Benny and the Jet | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tiggrrr Whitworth | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | My Bodacious Boy | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rand Good | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Red Hot | 3.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Omission | 30.00 | 8.7 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Carl Erskine | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Robert J. Frankel S.) – Robert J. Frankel S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Public Assembly | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Paradise Lake | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Willa T | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Watchtower | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hannah Buckle (IRE) | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sun Of Hill (BRZ) | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ima Joker | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Starry Night | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Voldemort | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Del Mar Jerry | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Katonah | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Normandy Landing | 2.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Copp | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Clooney | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Feel the Magic | 6.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Runaway Charlie | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Big Bet Jafinsafa | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Mutaz | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lorenzo Bernini | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Odyssey | 3.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Both Sides of Bad | 4.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fight Back | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Grandisimo | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Iron (FR) | 8.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Midway Lane | 3.50 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Missile Cruiser | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Wasting Aces | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Kiddo Light | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.