Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Always Angels | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ready for Trouble | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Broadway Lights | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bourbon Serengeti | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Another Cleeshay | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Helen’s Revenge | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dia Por Dia | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rumint | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Graceful Rose | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Amy’s Light | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Spun Size | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Apalta | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kavanaugh | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fever Night | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Senegal | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Egyptian | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Magni | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Master of Arms | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Great Richie M | 2.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Divine Leader | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dot’s Dollar | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lost in Rome | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Life and Light | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Probability | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Antietam | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kaz Oil Changer | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sequential | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ice Shot | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Nonno Joe | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Nothingbutnitro | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | That’s Funny | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Blenheim Baby | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Spirit of Esther | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Itwillbefun | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cara’s Chianti | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Blue Eyed Scout | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Widdershins | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | One Nine Hundred | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Vettriano | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mr Skylight | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Big Hat Willie | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Toxic Gray | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | High Oak | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | I’m A Gambler (IRE) | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Mo Spice | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bellamy | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tinseltown | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Whiskey Runner | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hoity Moroni | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | The Fridge | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Solo Street | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.