Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Where’s My Chew | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tuff Luck | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Chance | 1.80 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mugatu | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Keen Surge | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | The Count Is On | 8.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Brindano | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Ecumenical | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Blo By’em | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Not So Holy | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | D Hopper | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | World On Fire | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ellinger | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Capos Sugar Kane | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Barbados Bulldog | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Holy Storm | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Last Gift | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shenadoah Sunrise | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pichu | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fiesta La Luna | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | Pencil Me In | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Tug | 6.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 5 | Plenty On Tap | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Boss Lily | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gonna Make It | 2.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 6 | Runaway Rooster | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1A | 4 | Paid Vacation | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Pont Aven | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Finny | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Greyline Station | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Close the Gate | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | No More Calls | 30.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rebel Prince | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Little Lino | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Flirty Bajan | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sweet Spy | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Beautiful Quality | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Its All Gravy | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Seven’s Eleven | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Magic Spin | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Ocala Dream | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | P J’s Song | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Keeping It Country | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Spotted Bull | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Woodline | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Prom Knight | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Genghis | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Quincannon | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Likebelivingnmagic | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Mister Agent | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Lundi Loot | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Code of Silence | 2.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | G Q Worthy | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Let’s Go Lando | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hixon | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wildncrazyguy | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tactics | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | C’est Chouette | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Chambourcin | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Fulton Gal | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Momaxie | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tipmanee | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | God I Need a Favor | 30.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Honor Our Country | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Noble Status | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Green Eyed Monster | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Back Forty | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | My Flicker | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | In My Memories | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Itsamonstamash | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kilo Road | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Talk to the Judge | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Kittyup | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fastfeld | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Entitled Defense | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Take Charge Candy | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | I’m a Lil Wicked | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Onetime for Lar | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.