Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Chance | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mugatu | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tuff Luck | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Where’s My Chew | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | The Count Is On | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Brindano | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Keen Surge | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Ecumenical | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Blo By’em | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Not So Holy | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | World On Fire | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | D Hopper | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ellinger | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Barbados Bulldog | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Last Gift | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pichu | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Holy Storm | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shenadoah Sunrise | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fiesta La Luna | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Capos Sugar Kane | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | Pencil Me In | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1A | 4 | Paid Vacation | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gonna Make It | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 6 | Runaway Rooster | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 5 | Plenty On Tap | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Tug | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Boss Lily | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Pont Aven | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Little Lino | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Greyline Station | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Finny | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Close the Gate | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Flirty Bajan | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Its All Gravy | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rebel Prince | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sweet Spy | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Beautiful Quality | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 3 | 3 | No More Calls | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Seven’s Eleven | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Spotted Bull | 4.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Ocala Dream | 5.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Magic Spin | 6.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | P J’s Song | 6.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Woodline | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Prom Knight | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Quincannon | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Mister Agent | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Genghis | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Keeping It Country | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Likebelivingnmagic | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Code of Silence | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lundi Loot | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hixon | 3.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Let’s Go Lando | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | G Q Worthy | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wildncrazyguy | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tactics | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | C’est Chouette | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Noble Status | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Chambourcin | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Momaxie | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Fulton Gal | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Honor Our Country | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tipmanee | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | God I Need a Favor | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Green Eyed Monster | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | In My Memories | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Itsamonstamash | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | My Flicker | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Back Forty | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Talk to the Judge | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kilo Road | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Kittyup | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Take Charge Candy | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Entitled Defense | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fastfeld | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | I’m a Lil Wicked | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Onetime for Lar | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.