Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Expressive Love | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Perfect Life | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Only Reputation | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Morgan’s Bluff | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Brandon’s Girl | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lady Lithesome | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mrazek’s Old Dream | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Faithful Truth | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Bint Al Dandy (IRE) | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Surf Song | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | She’sastunner | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Claire Austin | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sandy Street | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Kitty Boom | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Santa Ynez S.) – Santa Ynez S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Explora | 0.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bottle of Rouge | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Himika | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Revera | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | La Wally | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Dark Omen | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Romantic Ride | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Almost There | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sirnami | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Heroic Dose | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Eye of the Smiley | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bring Om the Bacon | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Whiz Kidd | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Rocky Colavito | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Monsieur Big | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dr. Filkins | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ottis Betts | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Beeblebrox | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (San Vicente S.) – San Vicente S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Buetane | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Acknowledgemeplz | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | So Happy | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Greenwich Village | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Thirsty Rebel | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Cloudy Women | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hey Lil Lady | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pocket Venus | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lady Rider | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Motet | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Magale | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Irish Rose | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Clubhouse Cutie | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lady Maryann | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Coiffeur | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Handsome Ticket | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | No More Ding Dongs | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | White Mountain | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Malibu Rocks | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Last Call Paul | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Nobel Gary | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Drum Bunny | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | One Big Smile | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Vantastic | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Don’t Swear Dave | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Russells Hustle | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Castle Leoch | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gem Mint Ten | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jimmy Blue Jeans | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ah Jeez | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Neon Lights (IRE) | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Dakota Country | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | So I’m Told | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Veritas Aequitas | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Dial a Friend | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | She’s Splendid | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Empress of Grace | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rousing Jewel | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Brookys Gal | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Elegant Sway | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | A Rousing Babe | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rythem Girl | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dress Rehearsal | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 98 | Highplainsdrifter | 0.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cali Cat | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | King of Dragons | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Warm Sun and Brew | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Afternoon Nap | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Refocus | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Frank Bullitt | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cullen J | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Cardiff Crack | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | One Smokin Dude | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Druidic | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pass the Baton | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Prince Dolce | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sir Percival | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.