Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, January 11, 2026

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Coquito 0.80 1 2-1
3 3 Enigmatic 4.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Foxy Cara 6.00 2.4 4-1
2 2 Whistler’s Style 4.50 3.4 6-1
4 4 Luna Moth 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Bala de Plata 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Capanaparo 6.00 2.9 6-1
4 4 Our Notion 4.00 3.4 7-1
2 2 The Obliterator 3.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Southeastern 1.80 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Burninhunkoflove 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Play 3.50 1.7 3-1
2 2 Gatsby 0.80 1.9 4-1
6 6 Looms Boldly 10.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Funny Uncle 8.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Scaramanga 30.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Problematica 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Defended 4.50 1.6 3-1
4 4 Open Soul Autism 6.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Best Impression 8.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 My First Love 1.20 3.8 7-1
5 5 Dream On Cara 10.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Gypsy Dreaming 1.40 1 2-1
5 5 How About It 2.50 2 4-1
8 8 Grey Ace 4.50 2.3 4-1
1 1 Lough Currane 6.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Natural Hunk 10.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Jamaica Redd 15.00 4.5 8-1
4 4 Daw Samaa 20.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Midnight Musume 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Party in the Army 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Wamo 3.00 2 4-1
1 1 Top Player 10.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Escape Hall 10.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Miami Kaz 12.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Instant Success 30.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Sociably Johnny 30.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Pantherian 1.40 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Light the Way 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 Exact Estimate 4.50 1.6 3-1
4 4 Bramito 3.50 2.2 4-1
5 5 Dr. Kraft 4.00 2.9 5-1
8 8 Signator 12.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Noted 15.00 4 7-1
2 2 Crushed It 4.50 4.1 8-1
3 3 Sunny Breeze 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 My Devine One 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 Power of Women 2.00 1.5 3-1
2 2 Probable Angle 4.00 1.9 4-1
7 7 Quinns Silent Roar 12.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Fiona’s Joy 30.00 5.1 10-1
9 9 Ishkabibble 15.00 5.6 11-1
8 8 My First Dinah 30.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Grit N Glitter 6.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Game and Blue 5.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.