Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Custom Cadillac | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Maybe Eye’ll Call | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gypsy Squall | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Righteous Freedom | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Catchin Drama | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | I Bet You Wont | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Name the Time | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Patek | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Razor Crest | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Big Nickel | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mr. Ronnie | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Duvee | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Blame Me Seriously | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Running Ragged | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Louisiana Wildlife | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Half Way There | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tsuperman | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Torpedo Charlie | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Grand Encore | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Its Wild Again | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Seeking a Soldier | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lacey’s Kat | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Indian Cat | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | American City | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Big Salt Lick | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cobblestone Bridge | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wayllen Richard | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jr’s Gift | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dromas | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Star’s Image | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bourbon Boss | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Upturned Brim | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Covey (GB) | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Briterdayzahead | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sawyer Fox | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Our Determination | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ooey Gooey Chewy | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Treaty | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Clarestown | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Rothko | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mingo | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lahainaluna | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Crazy Diamond | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Suspiciously Named | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bestball | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Boss of All Bosses | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pegaso | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Calicoco | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Passing Judgment | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fran’s Star | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Sunday Breeze | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Big Chopper | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Slick and Fast | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Sonya Knows Better | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cypress Gold | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wayside Drive | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Brittany’s Dream | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sono | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Apriority Rocket | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hooray Austin | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Drewmazing | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Oak Hill Lg | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Malaki Empire | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Samurai’s Grandson | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sonofaship | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bet On Bobby | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | The Speedy One | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.