Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, January 11, 2026

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Custom Cadillac 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Gypsy Squall 4.00 1.7 3-1
1 1 Righteous Freedom 6.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Maybe Eye’ll Call 3.00 2.4 4-1
7 7 Name the Time 12.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 Catchin Drama 8.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Patek 12.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 I Bet You Wont 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Razor Crest 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Running Ragged 5.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Blame Me Seriously 5.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Big Nickel 3.50 4.2 8-1
5 5 Duvee 4.50 4.2 8-1
4 4 Mr. Ronnie 4.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Louisiana Wildlife 2.00 1 2-1
7 7 Torpedo Charlie 5.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Its Wild Again 20.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Half Way There 2.50 3.7 7-1
2 2 Lacey’s Kat 20.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Grand Encore 6.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Seeking a Soldier 20.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Tsuperman 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 American City 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Cobblestone Bridge 4.50 1.1 2-1
3 3 Big Salt Lick 3.50 2.4 4-1
7 7 Indian Cat 2.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Jr’s Gift 12.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Wayllen Richard 10.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Dromas 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Star’s Image 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Bourbon Boss 4.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Sawyer Fox 10.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Our Determination 10.00 4.1 8-1
9 9 Covey (GB) 6.00 4.7 9-1
10 10 Upturned Brim 5.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Treaty 12.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Clarestown 20.00 6.7 13-1
8 8 Briterdayzahead 8.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Ooey Gooey Chewy 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Crazy Diamond 5.00 1 2-1
1 1 Mingo 3.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 Suspiciously Named 8.00 1.6 3-1
4 4 Rothko 1.20 1.6 3-1
6 6 Lahainaluna 4.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Bestball 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Calicoco 5.00 1 2-1
9 9 Passing Judgment 6.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 Big Chopper 12.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Wayside Drive 15.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Fran’s Star 6.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Cypress Gold 15.00 4.3 8-1
11 11 Sonya Knows Better 15.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Boss of All Bosses 3.00 5 9-1
10 10 Slick and Fast 12.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 Brittany’s Dream 20.00 7.6 14-1
12 12 Sunday Breeze 8.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Pegaso 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Sono 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 Oak Hill Lg 8.00 1.7 3-1
7 7 Bet On Bobby 12.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Drewmazing 6.00 6.6 13-1
9 9 Sonofaship 8.00 7.1 13-1
3 3 The Speedy One 20.00 7.3 14-1
5 5 Malaki Empire 8.00 8.2 15-1
8 8 Apriority Rocket 4.00 8.3 16-1
10 10 Samurai’s Grandson 8.00 9.7 18-1
4 4 Hooray Austin 5.00 10 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.