Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Gypsy Squall | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Maybe Eye’ll Call | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Custom Cadillac | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Righteous Freedom | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Name the Time | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Catchin Drama | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Patek | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | I Bet You Wont | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Blame Me Seriously | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Running Ragged | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Duvee | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Razor Crest | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Big Nickel | 3.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mr. Ronnie | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Louisiana Wildlife | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Torpedo Charlie | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Grand Encore | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tsuperman | 4.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Its Wild Again | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Half Way There | 2.50 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lacey’s Kat | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Seeking a Soldier | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Cobblestone Bridge | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dromas | 15.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | American City | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Big Salt Lick | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Indian Cat | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wayllen Richard | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jr’s Gift | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Our Determination | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Star’s Image | 3.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Briterdayzahead | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bourbon Boss | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sawyer Fox | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Upturned Brim | 5.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Treaty | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ooey Gooey Chewy | 10.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Covey (GB) | 6.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Clarestown | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Crazy Diamond | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mingo | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rothko | 1.20 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Suspiciously Named | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bestball | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lahainaluna | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Calicoco | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wayside Drive | 15.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pegaso | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Big Chopper | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Boss of All Bosses | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Passing Judgment | 6.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cypress Gold | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Brittany’s Dream | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fran’s Star | 6.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Slick and Fast | 12.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Sunday Breeze | 8.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Sonya Knows Better | 15.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Oak Hill Lg | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sono | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bet On Bobby | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sonofaship | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hooray Austin | 5.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | The Speedy One | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Malaki Empire | 8.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Apriority Rocket | 4.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Drewmazing | 6.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Samurai’s Grandson | 8.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.